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Old August 15th 14, 10:32 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25

15 August 2014 and the blocking Low in the Atlantic has given up the game. It is being replaced by a large unsteady North Atlantic High, so far in free flow. Nobody knows where they come from.

Actually they come from North America the question is: How?

What makes a piece break off the anticyclones in the mid-Pacific and travel up through Canada to Greenland where it drops of and heads back to the latitude it comes from?

For over a week we have been able to see that conditions in the subtropics have been ideal for the generation of tropical storms and the GOES imagery for them indicates they are direct descendants of the Hadley Cell.

Why they don't turn into Ferrel Cells in the time honoured way is something to do with the declinations of the moon. We will see more of the process over the next summer as the 18 year cycle peaks with minimal declinations of the moon peaking or not (as is the case here) next January:
http://astropixels.com/ephemeris/moo...l2001year.html

Today there are no hurricanes or typhoons or whatever. The remnants of Julio and Karina and that's it for a few days. What will be interesting is what occurs with the anticyclone. This is an anticyclonic lunar phase. So far the number of people killed in floods around the world has been fairly high.

Oddly reports from one place after another is more apt. A saying from the Gospels. Jesus was referring to earthquake forecasts but with floods the forecasts should be for volcanoes.

In Glorious Technicolor the lack of wind shear continues:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/

The number of Low on the NAEFS chart remains for the duration of this spell but it is lacklustre. So just tornadic stuff then?
Wish I could say.

The behaviour of the Australian chart is unusual, possibly extra-ordinary as a large line storm shows up towards the end of it. Probably related to the traces of all those tropical storms now in extra-tropical waters:
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View

Just lately the anticyclones have been escaping south of the surrounding continents just as in the good old days but from Saturday night when two cyclones on the eastern coast of Antarctica hit shore (8o and 150 east) and the overall picture switches to a large triagle surrounding Antarctica.

Obviously more tropical cyclones are in that picture but the resulting gap between shore and the bulk of the action make me think of tornadoe/volcanoes. Possibly something I haven't thought of.

But the spell following is tornadic so it is best to just wait and see rather than say today this and tomorrow that...

Or not, as the case may be.