The consensus for Britain is that it is warmer than it has been recently.
I think it has been a dry spell, not quite what the doctor ordered but then we had a fair spate of very powerful tropical storms and one of them at least defied explanation.
Unfortunately nobody sought to dive in with it.
Most news reports on the weather seem to be retweets. The shape of things to come no doubt as climatologists struggle to come back from ignominy?
Tropical storm power and energy seems to come at the pice of earthquake magnitude. That should be cause for gratitude though for small mercies some might think. If you live in western Mexico you might not have so much desire for tropical storms as someone living in western USA.
There is a discussion on the drought (ostensibly a discussion of Odile) he
http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2014/09
Not a fair comment really as I was following a NASA link:
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOT..._rainfall.html
to a blog written about July data posted in August including a graphic that I couldn't decipher.
I suppose I should go looking for the answer in a search engine rather than follow pointed links at random. How do I phrase a question likely to get an answer to why Odile was impaled on Baja most of its life?
My biggest question however is the hint given by the Hawaiian forecast:
http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/models/mo...&imgsize=Large
Admittedly, I only ever look at sea level stuff (mostly pressures) but as far as I am concerned that is the only place weather happens. Everything else is climate or a close relative. According to that winds run link for this run:
http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/models/mo...imtype=f lash
a Low climbs out into the North Pacific from Mexican waters.
What's the betting a few US politicians are hoping to see a lot of this Wetback?
Maybe god is sending them peaceful thoughts about frontiers and sharing. Maybe something useful to do with all those ex-military "school" vehicles they are acquiring along the southern Californian border. Hopefully not necessarily converting them to water canon.
One can but hope.
The forecast low is only a 1008 mb cyclone when it gets onto the charts on the 22nd. That it should be so far from shore by then is significant as it has to be a fairly powerful cyclone to be heading north west rather than north east. It is only a forecast but even if it fails to get so far north west, it must go north east eventually.
One thing:
According to best track suggestions at the moment, Polo is going to have to get a lot better organised to be the answer to Californian prayers.
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/tra...c/201417E.html
Something interesting will crop up at the end of the spell though, according to BoM. I don't think it will be a storm per se. We have a week to get ready.
Or not, as the case may be:
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View
Meanwhile yours truly will be spending some time looking at Unisys' track records for scintillating data.