Bogdan Iqbal wrote:
Good morning friends. Take a look at Kasim Awan's thoughts on this winter. It holds a lot of promise for snowfall I am sure you will agree.

http://kasimsweatherwatcher.com/uk-winter-2014-15/
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Good morning. I found this a most interesting read. I have no confidence
in anybody's long term winter forecast at this stage, be they amateur or
professional but this one has at least a well detailed and thoughtful
approach making it interesting to read and does not suffer from the
outlandish predictions of pseudo professional forecasts like those of
Exacta Weather. In fact it has a very sensible qualifier:-

"It’s Too far off. It’s simply too far out to be “Realistic” When it
comes to UKWeather. The atmosphere here is Extremely Dynamic. We can Try
and Use Analogue Year’s, Sea Surface Temperatures, Solar Activity, QBO,
and the Seasonal Models to Try and conduct a Forecast. But Ultimately
the Unpredictability of the Physics Surrounding our Atmosphere which
Drvie the Weather is at an Early Stage, this Comes to Play more in Short
Term Weather Forecasting, although does Apply Considerably for Long
Range Forecasting"
Dave

P.S Is CFS the same as GFS or a typo?