"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
On 12/11/2014 16:51, ron button wrote:
What do you make of this boys and girls.....?

http://www.weatherweb.net/wxwebtv2.php

RonB




Just a thought, I take it the SSW shown on those models is only a forecast
atm, what certainty is there that it's going to warm etc?


Hi Keith, just spent past half hour examining the strat. It is a forecast
from NCEP/GFS (fairly reliable) and the warming has propagated down to 30hPa
by T+240. Quite a change from T+0 charts (12Z today). *If* it does propagate
further down then in circa 2 weeks after propagation we *may* see a pattern
change (i.e. circa 4 weeks from now). Having said that I still expect a
stormy zonal start to Dec due to deep cold vortex over E. Canada
established. Will be interesting to see how things pan out in next two weeks
before I issue on my web site. Line I am taking with neighbours at present
(as I'm always being asked), is that this month will be wet and that Dec
could well be stormy but the winter will *not* be as wet or as stormy as
last year. Could it be wetter? :-) I do not mention Jan into Feb at all,
except on here and in other places.

Will
--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
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