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Old January 27th 05, 03:00 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Harold Brooks Harold Brooks is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 178
Default Any advance on 11C?

In article .com,
says...
Firstly, because it shows an increase (whatever the amount). This is

useful
information.

Secondly, because any scientific prediction is based on probabilities.

Virtually no prediction is certain. Scientists are used to working with
probabilities. Knowing probabilities is very useful to a scientist.

Do they know the probablity distribution of the huge range of
temperatures quoted? If so, why not tell us? I have not seen any
quoted probabilities, or a time scale, and without these the figures
are quite meaningless.


It's all in the article:

http://www.climateprediction.net/sci...st_results.pdf

Harold
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Harold Brooks
hebrooks87 hotmail.com