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Old January 21st 15, 12:00 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dave Cornwell[_4_] Dave Cornwell[_4_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2010
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Default **Forecast: strongly zonal to T+240 on 21st January*** - FAIL

Dawlish wrote:
Yes, as I said, I get it wrong 20% of the time I forecast - which I readily admit to and (almost) everyone on here knows except your good self. *)) I've got it right 80% of the time. I look forward to your praise when I get it right. I seem to have missed your posts on those threads since you began posting!

I always re-examine my forecasts on outcome.

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Not quite there but I trust GFS T+6 ;-)

Well I guess in the end it was wrong, but they didn't get it as wrong as
it appeared a few days ago. I suppose tomorrow would be summarised as
the end of a partial Atlantic block with slack areas of LP in a
Northerly drift.
What has to be said is the models didn't perform that well in the
intervening period, chopping and changing with regard to the length and
severity of the "cold spell".
Dave