"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
...

I was at dinner the other day with a few people who work in the same area
as me (trying to quantify catastrophic risk) and we all agreed that whilst
we're not global warming sceptics, we were all model sceptics!

That is interesting. I reckon I know what causes abrupt climate change. It
is sea ice forming or melting in the GIN (Greenland, Iceland and
Norwegian)Seas. It does that suddenly because
of the ice albedo feedback. It is the formation of the ice which stops the
thermohaline circulation, not the other way round. But the models don't
show that, so I reckoned the models must be wrong. (In fact they don't
explain abrupt climate change in any case.) So I have been investigating the
models even before I joined this newsgroup, and this autumn I finally
discovered exactly where the major flaw is. Are you interested in hearing
my ideas? Most people who distrust the models are very unwilling to
believe that they are based on faulty science.

Cheers, Alastair.