On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 8:11:59 AM UTC, Malcolm wrote:


As I have your attention, Jim, please could you ask Piers what went
wrong with this piece of his forecasting, issued on December 9th 2014:

"The massive storm (map below for 10th 12noon) now heading for Britain
and Ireland 9/10th bringing blizzard conditions for most parts and
damaging gales or storms in all parts is essentially our top active
period 5-8th extended a day or two.
"This will then develop to set up the more Northerly VERY SEVERE
SNOW AND BLIZZARD BLAST WITH EXTREME COLD AND GALES for the following
period Friday 12th to Tue 16th . This was always forecast by
WeatherAction (from 100days ahead with detail 27days ahead) to be more
extreme and severe then 5-8th and that looks like what is going to hit.
"This will probably be the most extreme 5 days of snow blizzards and
and gales in Britain and Ireland for 100 years, being more severe than
the worst events of December 2010 (which were also correctly forecast by
WeatherAction)."

Over to you, Jim Cannon.

===========

One could also add questions regarding the assertions that:

1. Last August was likely to experience record-breaking heat (when in fact it was the only month of 2014 that was cooler than average): "It is going to be mostly sunny and very pleasant and we could even beat the record high for August of 101.3F (38.5C) set in 2003. We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month."

2. February 2015 could "bring some of the coldest weather for generations" to the UK.


Stephen.