On Tuesday, December 22, 2015 at 7:18:08 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Tuesday, December 22, 2015 at 3:41:15 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Tuesday, December 22, 2015 at 2:57:14 PM UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
On 22/12/2015 14:31, Dawlish wrote:
Actually closer than T+240 on both the gfs and GEM, with both showing a rise in pressure to our East over the Baltic. However, nothing as yet on the ECM, so no agreement.

The present zonal train has to end sometime. That proposed pressure rise to our east is the first sign of anything at T+240, or closer, for two weeks.

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There have been several attempts at that actually....

****over the last couple
of weeks and at around that date but of course then they were further
out than T+240 then****.


Sooner or later something will probably give but to
say it "has to end" isn't strictly true although the odds are that it will!
Dave

Understand the odds bit very well and I accept your correction! It's like 'it's sure to snow sometime this winter.......' 😀

****PS The gfs does only go out to 16 days, Dave!

A little more interested following those 12z runs. ECM now showing the Anticyclone over the Baltic and GEM turning potentially wintry!

See what turns up tomorrow......

And a little less interesting this morning.....😀