On Wednesday, January 6, 2016 at 9:41:36 AM UTC, David Mitchell wrote:
I just couldn't be bothered, Col. I've said I was looking for a change.
Taking forecasting to a new level.


Many times in the past, I could have boosted my 80% average success, by forecasting on a daily basis, but I always leave it at least 3 days.
Or, in fact, reduced self claimed 80% success, you need to start thinking about maths as well as grammar. Anyway, you always leave at least 3 days between forecasts, which is true. Could you remind us how many there were in total in 2015?

It was so obvious a change was not coming (implied by me still looking for it and ignoring the suggested model change around the start of the New Year), that I just didn't think a forecast was needed. Like I said, I was looking for the change.
I didn't think a forecast was needed. Correct, nor is it now. Presumably all other forecasters will stop forecasting now, as we all know it's going to rain.

Such arrogance.

Your obsession is getting the better of you mitchell....... laughing