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Old February 10th 16, 08:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Scott W[_2_] Scott W[_2_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2013
Posts: 312
Default The winter of our "model" discontent

On Wednesday, 10 February 2016 18:42:12 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
One thing I've noticed with this ridiculously mild winter is that the
computer models haven't thrown out any of their usual "surprise" bitter
cold scenarios. Usually they have a few distant projections of -12C
850's and bitter easterlies - such charts being referred to as "eye
candy" by the coldies. None of that this winter and the models seeming
to verify the mildness quite accurately.
The good news is the excesses of the Express have been kept to a minimum
because of this!
Dave


Is it because the PV has been 'holding firm'?

I'd not noticed just how mild this winter has been until I had a count up of the air frosts this winter - there's currently fewer than there was at this point in that other ridiculously mild winter of 2013/14. I wonder if we're going to 'pay' for this late February / early March? It could spell disaster for growers - my fruit trees are already well in bud.

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