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Old February 10th 05, 12:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Matt Hewlett Matt Hewlett is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2004
Posts: 22
Default dreams vs. reality

Well, to try and forecast a season a year away is sheer folly in my opinion.
I'm not saying it shouldn't be attempted, but I am saying that any success
with a forecast at that range can be attributed to luck rather than any
scientific basis.

One day it may be scientifically possible (personally I doubt it) but until
that day, luck will always be a huge part of LRFs of that range

"Damien" wrote in message
ups.com...
I didn't think Paul Bartlett issued a winter forecast this time?

Willing to
be proved wrong of course...


He issued his official 2005 winter forecast back in February, 2004!:-o

Brian Gaze has even made a massive thread about it!:-o

However, this year he is actually very much undecided to as just what
exactly the coming 2006 winter will bring.;-)

If we are to believe Ian Currie's super long-ranger, though, then the
next winter of 2006 should have a COLD, and even snowy, start. Then
again, so was his February 2005.:-(

D.