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Old March 2nd 16, 12:01 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Paul Garvey[_2_] Paul Garvey[_2_] is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2016
Posts: 98
Default **Forecast: Cold start to March. Northerly element to air over the UKon 1st March**

Well, if I'd forecast for today, this forecast would have been a good one. If I'd forecast for the 29th Feb, again, it would have been accurate enough, but that depression, which brought Tm air to much of England and Wales yesterday scuppered my forecast for St David's day.

That low wasn't there 10 days previously and it illustrates, again, the difficulties of forecasting at 10 days. One of the 20% of wrong forecasts for me. 😀 The models got the general pattern correct at the time of forecast, but not the detail for the 1st.