On 05/03/2016 10:28, Keith (Southend) wrote:
On 05/03/2016 10:16, JohnD wrote:
I see that the UKMO 6-30 day forecast has become decidedly less
pessimistic for mid-March on (for East Anglia at least). The temperature
summary for instance now seems to have changed over the past day or so
from essentially more of the same to 'Temperatures are likely to be mild
at first, but probably oscillating around normal later' for mid-month
on, with next weekend as the possible turning point.

Have any of you model watchers picked up what seems to be quite a
significant and potentially welcome change in outlook? Is it just a
slight change in the balance of probabilities, ie 60/40 one way to 60/40
the other and so probably pretty uncertain still, or something better
founded?

I just want spring to arrive when it is supposed to followed by summer
for a change. As far as the SE is concerned we seem to have two seasons
spring and autumn.

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It's beginning to look that way - certainly for the last three years
although I'm still finding the summers to be ok, if not constant heatwaves.