On Tuesday, March 8, 2016 at 11:20:19 AM UTC, N_Cook wrote:
Assuming the loop in the 1016mB will become this explosive cyclogenesis
low of tonight, the geopotential seems to be placing it farther south
than the models including MetO have placed its track. No longer crossing
Ireland so worse for any English channel sea level effect

I would have thought it's too fast moving, as well as not being much of a feature until it gets here (and even then not that deep) to have much effect.. Also, as far as the south coast of England is concerned, the strongest winds will be offshore.

On the north Cornish coast, where the strongest onshore winds could well be, the late development of the feature means no big swell. In fact not much swell at all - http://magicseaweed.com/UK-Ireland-M...ts/1/?size=940 . 10' wind wave forecast for Sennen, it topped 30' of real swell on 8th February, 38' at Sevenstones.

That was the event of the winter by a big margin http://www.sennen-cove.com/8feb16.htm

Graham
Penzance