On 23/08/2016 17:00, N_Cook wrote:
On 23/08/2016 15:56, wrote:
On Tuesday, 23 August 2016 11:19:04 UTC+1, Norman Lynagh wrote:
Graham P Davis wrote:

On Tue, 23 Aug 2016 08:02:51 +0100
N_Cook wrote:

Will they honeymoon in the UK the first week of September?

Sadly, it appears Fiona is seriously ill and is considered unlikely to
recover; her death is expected to occur during the coming weekend.

Gaston, being a rather fickle creature, may soon be turning an eye
towards Hermine.

I see that the ECMWF model predicts one of them (not sure which) as a
fairly
intense feature close NW of the Azores at 0000z on 1st Sep then
something like
600 miles SW of Ireland 24 hours later. Mind you. the chances of
getting that
level of detail anywhere close to correct at 10 days range are pretty
small.
Nevertheless, there's clearly potential for interesting developments.

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org

I think It's Fiona. gfs has had it on its radar from T+324 and it is
still solidly there at 10 days. As it is also there on both the ECM
and GEM and has been for several days, I would say that the chances of
that level of detail (i.e. the remnants of Fiona approaching the UK at
10 days) is high and indeed that the scenario is likely, Norman.


For the first 2 days of NHC track projections , I make the separation
between Fiona and Gaston
24 Aug 0000Z 2090 miles , + 1day 1910 miles, + 2day 1550 miles.
Anyone going to open a book for the race over the Atlantic?


For 2day read 2.5day
I didn't notice the step-change in the NHC tables