On Sunday, 16 October 2016 20:23:45 UTC+1, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article ,
says...

Hahaha! Please continue


Oh, what fun....

--
Alan LeHun

I am not interested in forecasts and if I was I wouldn't be interested in maing them for him. I don't have the focu that the meteorologists on here have. If I bothered getting a Vantage pro it would be largely unused after remaining in its box for months or longer.

I just don't have any concentration and thus is a pointless taks keeping up with what the NA-efs and other charts I collect actually say.

Once i have discovered how something works I move on to the next puzzle and that by the definition of research is an all consuming hobby.

I can't sleep without thinking about it lasty thing and I don't usually get out of the toilet first thin in the morning withoup planning how I am going to make a post describing what I am thinking.

When I was working I was thinking about how the weather looked and how much I needed to earn before I could stop working. Largely that became a matter of how bad my health was towards the end.

But I would work until I had a couple of thousand in the bank then take a break until I was down to a few hundred.

Is there anyone on here that imagines I exist just to teach a wet sheep how to behave?

Back to the point:
Today's morning run fro Canada lacks a chart from its run. In my experience when that happens it is because the ensemble can not be deciphered fro the spaghetti produced by the different model runs that make it.

The first lore of thaumaturgy is that when the professional forecasts are uncertain the rule of thumb is downward towards big geo-phenomena.

We don't noramally get such problems fro other charts because the composites for the NA-EFS come from Mexico, USA and Canada. A vast area with all sorts of hamstrung problems from comparatives . Their ground stations are sited in places that climatologists have Clintonned to serve climategate but so far as i know the balloon and satellite data is still good.

Mexico and Canada (Canada is full of environmentalists but) has not suffered politically as much as the USA has. So how much is super-quake and how much is volcano and how much is derech/hurricanes or how much is skewed US data spoiling the model runs remains to be seen. The evening run should be available by now if you wish to look:

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html
I use the "Pressure at sea level" charts and the hour selection is 00 or 12; you want 12.