Eskimo Will wrote:


"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...
I don't know why there's a severe weather warning for snow for this area
due to come into force at midday while the current weather forecast
predicts no precipitation before 1800. Such discrepancies do the
credibility of the Met Office no good at all. Timing is very important.
For example, snow very quickly affects bus services, including the many
school buses that operate to the villages and remote farms. If there is a
genuine threat of snow from midday onwards then afternoon bus services
could be disrupted. If there's nothing before 1800 then there's no problem.


Automated site forecasts yesterday gave sleet in Tideswell. As far as I can
see snow will only be a problem 400 metres and above. The upper trough is
disrupting and precip will slow down as low deepens in base of trough. There
has been this trend in model runs so far. The MetO I'm afraid is going down
hill rapidly now as the last of the experienced staff retire or leave. This
is not a criticism of younger staff who are brilliant but know no other
culture than the one they have now which is working towards full automation
and where forecasting has become a fringe activity in the Met Office. But
hey, I'm a dinosaur, what do I know? (Quite a bit actually; LOL).

Will

The current automated forecast for Tideswell, issued at 1100, predicts sleet
starting at 1800 with the temp at +1C. The prediction then has it turing to
heavy snow at 2000 and continuing as heavy snow right through to 0700 tomorrow
then slight snow to 1300. The temp is predicted to fall to 0C at 2300 and
remain at 0C right through till midday tomorrow. The forecast max for tomorrow
is +1C. This one is on a knife edge for us.

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org
@TideswellWeathr