On Wednesday, 24 May 2017 01:05:05 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Saturday, 27 May 2017 13:37:25 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Saturday, 27 May 2017 03:18:55 UTC+1, wrote:
...

https://www.newscientist.com/article...-major-cities/

Can you reason honestly and tell me if this sounds like they know what they are talking about:

"Why earthquakes are hard to predict:

Each area has idiosyncrasies, so the San Andreas fault in the San Francisco Bay area could withstand fewer small earthquakes than the intersecting fault system below Tokyo.

Rundle’s team assign scores to areas inside a 100-kilometre radius centred on major population centres, like thermometer readings with the mercury intermittently rising with each new small earthquake. They say Los Angeles is halfway through its cycle for powerful earthquakes of magnitude 6..5 or above, as the area hasn’t suffered many small earthquakes since the massive quake of 1994 in the Northridge neighbourhood. Davao City, in the Philippines, had scored at the top of the list until a major offshore quake recently brought it to the bottom of updated rankings.

Tokyo residents should be much more concerned, though, as their city is 90 per cent of the way through its cycle."?

I dare say their ideas are based on theories about subduction and obduction. Fair play for them for deciding to look at the weather but they don't even realise that there are interference patterns from volcanoes that they have to find a way out of. Sow what are they doing?

They are working on statistics based on population densities. And they are going to get results like CNN polls about the American Election of Donald Trump!

Here is what they should be working on right now:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthqua...age/us10008uvv
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthqua...age/us10008ut8
This time lapse is below the criticality for tropical staorms and it may be indicating the likelihood ot tornadoes which in turn leads to subteranean vorticity.
5.8M. Alaska 2017-05-24 16:36:01 (UTC)
This Alaskan was the last earthquake of gale force intensity but I have included all the ones from recent magnitude 5.0 and up over the last week for fear of any difficulties trying to explain what is bloody obvious to me to idiots:


Date time magnitude place2017-05-24 16:36. 5.8mww 161km ESE of Nikolski, Alaska
2017-05-20 17:58. 5.7mww 52km NNW of Cintalapa de Figueroa, Mexico
2017-05-24 09:10. 5.6mww 119km E of Malili, Indonesia
2017-05-24 11:05. 5.5mww 49km N of Kirakira, Solomon Islands
2017-05-24 16:44. 5.4mb 72km SSW of Tambakrejo, Indonesia
2017-05-22 11. . 5.4mww 82km E of Shikotan, Russia
2017-05-25 14:27. 5.3mww 11km W of Babo-Pangulo, Philippines
2017-05-25 06:02. 5.3mb 174km SW of Vaini, Tonga
2017-05-24 16:07. 5.3mb 158km ESE of Nikolski, Alaska
2017-05-22 16:41. 5.3mb 133km S of Hihifo, Tonga
2017-05-26 15:23. 5.2mb 97km SSW of Acajutla, El Salvador
2017-05-25 00:07. 5.2mb 50km NW of Cintalapa de Figueroa, Mexico
2017-05-27 07:38. 5.1mwr 221km W of Puerto Chacabuco, Chile
2017-05-26 22:32. 5.1mb 32km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
2017-05-26 19:29. 5.1mb Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia
2017-05-26 06:27. 5.1mb 45km S of Ndoi Island, Fiji
2017-05-24 06:35. 5.1mb 120km SE of Akutan, Alaska
2017-05-22 00:18. 5.1mb 88km SE of Taron, Papua New Guinea
2017-05-25 06:33. 5mb Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge
2017-05-21 08:12. 5mb Mid-Indian Ridge

None of which has much to do with the concept of Nowcasting If I understand that term correctly.