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Useless met office rainfaill predictions
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July 7th 17, 02:54 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Metman2012[_2_]
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Useless met office rainfaill predictions
On 07/07/2017 09:42,
d wrote:
On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 19:09:56 +0100
Will Hand wrote:
On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 18:32:07 +0100
I'm wondering if part of the issue is the presentation. The media broadcasters
should have been aware that many places were to remain dry and present the
story as such. As this is what the models were saying. It is very unfair to
blame the models, that is what upset me with Spud's original post.
The BBC don't make up the charts themselves, the met office provide them.
Either the computer models provided the charts or they were altered manually
by someone who didn't believe the computer. Either way they got it badly
wrong. Never mind no thunderstorms, there was barely any cloud. Thats not
a minor slip up, its a total forecasting failure.
I was looking at the weather radar pages yesterday and there were quite
a lot of thunderstorms over London and over East Anglia (going by the
lightning page). You don't say where you live, but I live on the western
edge of the warning area and we got no rain, but having read the
forecast I wasn't really expecting any. Similarly I never heard anybody
saying 'storms everywhere'. Who was it who forecast storms everywhere?
It was a low probability, high impact event and so the forecast was
broadly correct IMHO.
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