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Old July 11th 17, 11:27 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Graham P Davis Graham P Davis is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2004
Posts: 4,814
Default Useless met office rainfaill predictions

On 11/07/17 09:33, d wrote:
On Mon, 10 Jul 2017 09:37:53 -0700 (PDT)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Thursday, 6 July 2017 09:53:08 UTC+1, wrote:
Even 12 hours ago the BBC weather was predicting rain and storms over a
substantial part of london and the southwest.
=20
[looks out the window]
=20
Blue sky. And looking at the rainfall radar the nearest rain is in=20
cambridgshire and calais.
=20
And this isn't the first time. If all their expertise and their very=20
expensive supercomputer can't even get a forecast right 12 hours ahead th=

en
whats the point of them?
=20
--=20
Spud


They are useless . They've still got a weather warning for rain, yes rain, =
for London and SE England. UKMO have been OTT for the past 20 years , Its p=
athetic, in fact their website forecast and predictions are so contradicto=
ry they should all hand in their notice and give the task to Piers Corbyn a=
t least he'd be just as accurate and cheaper. UKMO are a farce.


Certainly they ballsed up another rain prediction. Last nights forecast was
light rain for the whole of london and the south by 8am. Its 9.30 am and
its still as dry as a bone out there. Looking at the rainfall radar the
nearest rain is in wiltshire. There's a prediction for heavy rain for tonight.
I won't hold my breath given that the main front over cornwall looks like its
weakening already.


At 0900, some rain was already close to Brighton with some light stuff
over Kent. I think that puts the rain a little closer to London than
Wiltshire. In addition, I don't see any evidence for the main rain area
weakening.

A quick look at the other model runs yesterday show them to have been
going for the same story as the Met Office, much as when you last blamed
the Met Office for supposedly getting a forecast wrong.


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
Web-site:
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
“Like sewage, smartphones, and Donald Trump, some things are just
inevitable.” [The Doctor]