Sea Level Rise
Y = year (minus 2000) , x is cm SLR in Aviso.Altimetry terms for Jason-3
output up to 05 April 2018, publically outputed 26 June 2018,
for various optimised curve fits and concattenated 52 datapoint data for
Jason1+2+3
Linear
y= 1.427594 + 0.334124x
r*r = 0.981312
year Sea Level Rise
2020 8.11cm
2050 18.133
2100 34.839
Exponential
Y = 1.926243 -7.467664*(1-Exp(0.031073*x))
r*r = 0.984443
year Sea Level
2020 8.36 cm
2050 29.77 cm
2100 161.4m
Quadratic
Y= 1.998822 +0.210329 * x +0.005367 * x^2
r*r = 0.984598
year Sea Level
2020 8.352cm
2050 25.932
2100 76.701
Best still on R*R goodness, Indicial
Y= 2.232609 +0.109142 * x^1.342432
r*r = 0.984789
about 4/3 power
year Sea Level Rise
2020 8.321 cm
2050 23.065
2100 55.059
Y = year (minus 2000) , x is cm SLR in Aviso.Altimetry terms for Jason-3
output up to 25 May 2018, publically outputed approx 23 July 2018,
for various optimised curve fits and concattenated 54 datapoint data for
Jason1+2+3, ranked in terms of R*R
Linear
Y= 1.440160 + 0.332706 * x
R^R=0.981621
year Sea Level Rise , cm
2020 8.094
2050 18.075
2100 34.71
Exponential
Y = 1.885012 -8.885318*(1-Exp(0.027178*x))
r*r = 0.984062
year Sea Level Rise ,cm
2020 8.301
2050 27.58
2100 127.585
Quadratic
Y= 1.949468 +0.222901 * x +0.004728 * x^2
r*r = 0.984207
year Sea Level Rise , cm
2020 8.298
2050 24.914
2100 71.519
Best still on R*R goodness, Indicial
Y= 2.182871 +0.121504 * x^1.306716
r*r = 0.984447
still about 4/3 power, projection still falling
year Sea Level Rise , cm
2020 8.273
2050 22.35
2100 52.073
|