Thread: Sea Level Rise
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Old January 23rd 19, 08:38 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
N_Cook N_Cook is offline
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Default Sea Level Rise

On 23/01/2019 19:21, N_Cook wrote:
From their assessed papers of 2016/17/18 only, of Table S1, and taking
my best fit , so far, middle projected SLR of +0.55m on 2000 global
level to 2100.
2016
RCP4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
2deg C above pre-industrial warming
2017
2.6
2
RCP8.5
between RCP 4.5 and 6.0
2.6
8.5
between 6.0 and 8.5
between 2.6 and 4.5
intermediate low emission
450ppm stabilisation

2.6
2018
1.5 deg APIW
unquantifiable
2 deg


Averaging the quantifiable ones of that lot , giving about 0.55m as
their central estimate , something like 3.9 deg C.


I'd overlooked their conversion table S2, so a correction, simple mean
of the latest 18 papers, comes out at 2.3 deg C above pre-industrial
warming.