Looks like full-blown El Nino on the way
My spot evaluations of NOAA "El Nino 3.4" sea-area pixel-counted
evaluations of SST anamoly.
year-day : anomaly as deg C
91,: Nino +0.93
112, : Nino +0.93
119,: Nino +0.91
126, :Nino +0.89 [1% in 2.25 deg C bin]
129,: Nino +0.87 [0.3% in 2.25 deg C bin ]
133,:Nino +0.88 [0% in 2.25 bin]
136,:Nino +0.80 [0.3% in -0.25 deg C bin]
140,: Nino +0.84
143: Nino +0.93
147: Nino +0.89
150: Nino +1.07 [0 in -0.25 deg C bin, 0.7% in 2.25 deg C bin]

NOAA rolling quarter next thursday will probally show up from 0.8 to 0.9
and previous elevated values was a hiatus , not the peak.
Oz assesment
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/