On 10/03/2020 11:02, wrote:
On Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 10:00:00 AM UTC, N_Cook wrote:
On 10/03/2020 09:17, wrote:
First signs of the possibility of a La Nina in the Boreal autumn, or winter, IMO.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...-fcsts-web.pdf


So the longest protracted neutral ENSO for 60 years
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
I'm waiting to see if the ENSO oscillation has "simply" stopped
oscillating. With the SST hot "blob" east of New Zealand being in
anti-phase lock-step with El Nino sea-area 3.4, locking ENSO out of
proceeding to the El Nino state , or Nina for that matter.

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I very much doubt it has, Noman, but time will, of course, tell.


"Expect the unexpected" was what an oceanography professor told me in
the early days of reference to climate change.
At the time they'd just detected that the deep cold water return
component of the North Atlantic AMOC had stopped/diverted? for a few weeks.


--
Monthly public talks on science topics, Hampshire , England
http://diverse.4mg.com/scicaf.htm