On Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 11:58:17 AM UTC, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 10/03/2020 09:17, wrote:
First signs of the possibility of a La Nina in the Boreal autumn, or winter, IMO.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...-fcsts-web.pdf


But the CFS.v2 forecast in that pdf is predicting an El Nino.

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Web-site: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
“Understanding is a three-edged sword. Your side, my side, and the
truth.” [Ambassador Kosh]
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It predicts ENSO neutral throughout, with variations during the period. it never escapes -0.5 - +0.5. I watch the changes from week to week and the probabilities, on the bar graph. Distinct tick up in the probability of La Nina this week - TBF, nothing but ENSO neutral showing, just yet. but these changes always start somewhere. We'll see.