This thread has mentioned some academic studies and many people here have an academic or professional background in the subject, though with the internet the academic research has a wider readership. Good. But, I'm sure that to some extent even the academic specialists are prepared to revise their thoughts on global warming or flooding by personal experience and observation. This may sound subjective but I think it can force some of us to think again. An example for me is the effect of the high summer temperatures over recent summers in the part of the Uk where I live - SE England, namely moisture stress, also heat stress itself. There's plenty of evidence to show that the SE is warming faster than other regions - have a look at temperature anomalies for 2020, for example. Look at other years. The high temperature issue occurs not just in the famously warm summers (2018). If you are in central or some NW regions you may be shouting at me about intense rainfalls over the last 10-15 years - the point is that the location is different. The recent trend in summer rainfall in some areas is certainly contrary to model output - so far. The rise in temperature isn't.

This temperature change may be inevitable in the less maritime climate in these parts but it also fits with synoptic circulation patterns - namely, persistence of SW airflows (u trough over N Atlantic / u ridge continental Europe).

Julian
'these parts' = London / Surrey area.