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Old October 12th 03, 12:40 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Jon O'Rourke Jon O'Rourke is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 142
Default BBc Weather - 10.30pm

"Chris Mantle" wrote in message
...
I just caught the end of the weather with the sound very low, however did

I
hear Rob E saying that Tuesday was going to windy and wet just like

autumn.
I was very surprised having seen all the forecasts on the group over the
past couple of day.

Maybe I am wrong and suffering from lack of rain fever


I saw Rob earlier and as I've not been looking closely over the last week it
had me wondering too.

The culprit appears to be the front on the T+72
http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
(12z finalised chart - note the 'interesting' goings on over northern
France..)
copied here http://www.metbrief.com/12z_t+72.gif

Looking at the raw Global Model data on Sembach
http://ows.public.sembach.af.mil/Gif...synoptic72.gif
(data time 00z Saturday) the frontal zone is well marked with a fair bit of
cloud and some patchy-ish looking rain. The 18z GFS run is also indicating a
bit of rain,
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rtavn724.gif
copied here http://www.metbrief.com/18z_t+72.gif

All this combined with the strength of the wind could well put a bit of
dampener on things and give quite an autumnal feel as suggested.

Easterlies, must admit I don't like em much, often hard work aviation wise.
However I'll take them in January :-)

Jon.