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Old October 17th 03, 11:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Keith (Southend) Keith (Southend) is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2003
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Default "UKMO" T+144 DT 12Z 17/10/03

Will,

Thanks for sharing your thoughts. When it comes from people like
yourself with 'inside' knowledge and many years of experience, it does
make you think that we are in a whole new ball game meteorologically
speaking.

Keith (Southend)

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On Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:06:34 +0100, "Will"
wrote:



================================================= ===================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================= ===================

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsukmeur.html

I must say, I do not recall ever ever seeing a chart like that in October. That
is simply phenomenal. It is almost as if the whole northern hemisphere
circulation has flipped. The Atlantic is blocked and the main low pressure run
seems to be SE into Russia from the pole.
I would cautiously say "summat's up" !
Either way it backs up my forecast yesterday which went along with the ensembles
and kept the cold going, no sign of milder air getting further north than
southern England and then not really "in".

On a related topic I had a brief talk with a colleague at work today and we were
agreeing that the climate modellers should be concentrating much more on the
next 10 years as well as 100 years ahead as what we have seen recently is
circumstantial evidence that the climate can change rapidly and we *could* be in
danger of getting caught out with "our pants down".

Food for thought,

Will.