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Lawrence yes I do and what's more I think the answer lies in understanding the
ocean and therein lies the problem as data are very scant deep down. SSTs are a
product of many processes and the warming in Arctic regions in recent years to
my mind has been fast - too fast maybe for planetary stability and with
instability comes change, often quickly.

OK all very hand-wavey and unscientific but I am becoming very concerned myself
now that we may be underestimating the extent, effects and rapidity of climate
change globally and in the UK.

Will.
--

" Love begins when judgement ceases "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

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lawrence jenkins wrote in message ...

"Will" wrote in message
...


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This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsukmeur.html

I must say, I do not recall ever ever seeing a chart like that in October.
That
is simply phenomenal. It is almost as if the whole northern hemisphere
circulation has flipped. The Atlantic is blocked and the main low pressure
run
seems to be SE into Russia from the pole.
I would cautiously say "summat's up" !
Either way it backs up my forecast yesterday which went along with the
ensembles
and kept the cold going, no sign of milder air getting further north than
southern England and then not really "in".

On a related topic I had a brief talk with a colleague at work today and
we were
agreeing that the climate modellers should be concentrating much more on
the
next 10 years as well as 100 years ahead as what we have seen recently is
circumstantial evidence that the climate can change rapidly and we *could*
be in
danger of getting caught out with "our pants down".

Food for thought,

Will.
--
" Love begins when judgement ceases "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----



Blimey Will. Youv'e sent a shiver down my spine. Do you really think such a
rapid change is possible? Flippi'n hell.