To be honest Keith, I believe that you cannot compare the stats of any
Summer / Autumn to get a clue what the coming winter will be like.

I do not wish to belittle other more experienced posters to this newsgroup
in what I say, but there are many that believe that because we have seen an
October which has generally been very cool, There will be a cold Winter.

Already we can see that the mid Atlantic high is starting to drain away
southwards allowing milder air to come over the top and down across britain,
as it did many times last winter.

In short I think its a case of we have to wait and see what this winter will
bring, as I feel there are little if any connections between what a
particular type of Autumn will dictate as far as the following winter will
bring.

Regards. Len.




"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
It's been very interesting reading the various posts regarding past
weather patterns and the coming winter. However, many of you have
pointed out that a blocked autumn will lead to a mild, probable dry,
winter. I can't argue with this, although the element of 'Wills' new
era, may throw up some anomolies to the theories.
The problem I have, and would like to know what the consesus is, is
what late summer/autumn weather should we have, that would point to a
hard winter? After all, all those years of wet and windy zonal autumns
didn't lead to one, and now the stats are saying that a blocked autumn
won't lead to one either, and I'm beginning to lose hope, so what
would lead to a hard winter???

Keith (Southend)

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