Thanks for the link, Jon. I remember Martin telling me about his work on
the forecast. It was a very fair handling of my forecast and the results
were correct. Given the quality of the forecast I made, I couldn't have
expected anything better. . I think it was about that time that I had to
concede a very bad forecast I made even before the VT came into force. It
wasn't a successful time for me in those days. .

Anyway, that's quite a time ago, and much has happened since then. The
unreliable forecasting methods which couldn't be brushed up had to go, and
those that stayed had a number of trial-and-error programmes placed upon
them. The result was an improvement but still not good enough. And then,
almost by accident, a break-through came which put a new light on
everything. It's difficult to recall the actual happening, but it's like
searching for a logical lead and something entirely different crops up and
guides you down an entirely different path, - which in this case brought
the results I had been looking for.

At the moment I'm checking the Ist November avn forecast. Yesterday had
a great big depression over Denmark, but today the depression is on the move
and not as fearsome as yesterday. Also noticeable today was the eastwards
movement of HP into the area W of Ireland. And so the story will go on
until some kind of calmness happens at T + 3 days which I can rely upon.
Then we'll see how good the single-day forecast really is. If the first
day is good then all the others will be better.
Thanks again, Jon.

Cheers, Keith

Jon O'Rourke schrieb:

"Col" wrote in message
...

Snip
What methods do you use and what sucess have you had?

Col

Martin did a detailed verification of Keith's Wimbledon forecast in 2001
http://tinyurl.com/s95n

Jon.