================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Yes it is chaos since we cannot observe SSTs etc to the resolution required for
weather forecasting. Hence errors creep into the analysis which leads to chaos.
The atmosphere itself is also chaotic due to non-linear feedback processes.
Remember chaos can arise out of extremely *simple* equations which have
application in the macro world.

Will.
--

" Love begins when judgement ceases "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nick wrote in message . ..
As much as I don't quite agree with your forecast, I do think it's
premature of others to dissmiss your long range forecast as wrong.

I think many people would do well to wait untill Jan 2004 before
replying to this forecast and compare what it has predicted to what
actually happens.

I whole heartedly agree with your comments regarding computer
forecasts not being the only method of forecasting.

I think computer models are excellent for up to 36HRS and possibly
beyond in zonal conditions.

I think many people link climate / weather and chaos theory without
actually knowing what chaos theory is.

Chaos theory works on sub atomic particles and in quantum physics, but
when we have such predictable major parts of equations like, solar
energy, atlantic SST's, albedo, density, pressure, it isn't chaos