Using analogue selection for 30-day periods and pattern
sequences for 5-day periods during Aug/Sept, then using
best-fit years, gives us the following for November 2003:

Mean sea-level pressure pattern over the British Isles:
anticyclonic/southerly

Mean pressure anomaly pattern over the Br.Is:
anticyclonic southeasterly

CET +0.9 degC
E&W RR 77%
E&W sss 98%

Verification for October's Not the Long Range Forecast
Sea-level pressure pattern:
Actual: northwesterly
Forecast: southwesterly

Anomaly pattern:
Actual: NNE-ly
Forecast: hint of NW-ly or N-ly

CET:
Forecast -0.3 degC
Actual -0.9 degC

Rainfall:
Forecast 98%
Actual 80%

Sunshine
Forecast 103%
Actual 130%

Philip Eden