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Old November 11th 03, 10:43 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
MichaelJP MichaelJP is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 112
Default Wild on Thursday night?

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in

message
...
Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday

night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every

run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!


And if it tracks over the Forth/Clyde valley then my area will get it.

Last night's BBC forecast was stressing the uncertainty of the low's
positioning showing two possible tracks on the forecast charts.
Though I don't know whether these were the two most likely outcomes
or the two extremes.


I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally
considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts.
Nice to see.

- Michael