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Old November 15th 03, 01:12 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
lawrence Jenkins lawrence Jenkins is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
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Default Next 2 weeks weather summary beginning 16/11/03


"Will" wrote in message
...
================================================== ===============

This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may

unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions

arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love

for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

================================================== ===============


Summary valid for Sunday 16/11/03 to Saturday 22/11/03
TOI (time of issue) Friday 14/11/03 2030 UK local time This summary is

based
on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP

ensemble)
labelled charts available from the superb

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Sunday looks like being a fine day in most places after a few early

showers in
the SW. On Monday and Tuesday Atlantic depressions will run to the north

of
Scotland bringing rain, then showers and fresh to strong west winds to

northern
Britain where temperatures will be close to normal. Southern areas look

like
staying mainly dry and mild but still windy. Later on Tuesday and during
Wednesday and Thursday a cold front is expected to move slowly south down

the
British Isles. Winds will become strong to gale south of the front and

there is
likely to be a prolonged spell of heavy rain associated with the front

over
England and Wales. The front should finally clear southern Britain by

Friday.
North of the front it will become colder and brighter as winds turn
northwesterly but with showers in exposed parts turning wintry over high

ground
by Saturday. Next weekend all parts look like turning brighter and much

colder
with scattered wintry showers, lighter winds and frost at night.

Confidence
moderate to high, but lower for implied cold front timings (could be

slower if
waves develop).

The trend for the following week beginning 23/11/03 is for a much colder

spell
of weather to set in with snow in places, mainly on hills and near

windward
coasts, and widespread frost at night. Confidence moderate. Low confidence

in
milder weather returning by end of month.

This forecast has been brought to you from Met Office Dartmoor :-)

Cheers,

Will.
--

..Will that's all well and good, but where's the christmas forecast?