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Old December 5th 03, 09:44 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Mike Tullett Mike Tullett is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2003
Posts: 244
Default Winter forecasts so far

On Fri, 05 Dec 2003 10:11:46 +0100, Keith Darlington wrote in

Post re-ordered

Will schrieb:
Brendan DJ Murphy wrote in message ...
TYPICAL!
The 12z runs are now displayed and the 528 line is North of UK and winds are
now southerlies!

Its amazing what a difference 6 hours can make to the models.

Brendan


Exactly. And some people think they can forecast the weather to two week
precision 3 months ahead, or give forecasts for Christmas week in October. Pah !
Which planet are they on ?


Hi Will!
Your obviously not studying the forecasts, just stating your feelings. How
unscientific. Pah!

Cheers Keith
P.S. It's good I saw your posting, otherwise your comments would have gone
unanswered.


Keith - I'm sure Will is stating more than just his feelings and is basing
his views on the dreadful record of these so called detailed "long range
forecasts".

Here is an example for today the 5th December:

quote
On 5th December, a large LP area covers the Norwegian Sea, the North
Sea and Scandinavia. A small depression in the North Sea moves away
and leaves a NW airstream over the British Isles. In the SW of the
country, a flat ridge approaches S Ireland and moves E'ward into the W
of Britain. As the showers slowly die out in the N, NE and E of the
country, weather slowly improves from the SW and spreads into the W half
of the country.
endquote

That was posted on the 22nd November by your good self. I see no mention
of the high covering us and I note all places are currently dry.

For tomorrow you stated:
"An Atlantic LP extends E'wards into W Scotland" when all the signs are of
just the opposite - high centres to the NW and N of us.

I commented a week or so ago on the inaccuracies in your forecasts, but you
seem to have _overlooked_ my post.


--
Mike Coleraine posted to uk.sci.weather 05/12/2003 09:44:18 UTC
My aurora images here http://www.mtullett.plus.com/29a-oct and
http://www.mtullett.plus.com/20-nov/