Keep your damn stupid weather:
http://217.160.75.104/wz/pics/brack2a.gif

http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif

But it would seem that as the Hurricane season ends the North Atlantic
cyclone season just moves up a few lateral lines.

We are having frosts and fogs as was the case before tha last of the
Atlantic's named storms occurred. Now we have these deep Lows on the
60th parallel.

(And of course the typhoon in the Indian Ocean. Brown skinned people
involved though -so not of much interest to readers of this newsgroup.)

Weatherlawyer wrote:

We are having frosts and fogs as was the case before tha last of the
Atlantic's named storms occurred. Now we have these deep Lows on the
60th parallel.

(And of course the typhoon in the Indian Ocean. Brown skinned people
involved though -so not of much interest to readers of this newsgroup.)

I normally get a weekly handout from the following site but lately
something seems to have dropped me of their server.
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Nat...3?img_id=13267

This supertyphoon has just ben replaced by tropical storm 06B

Weatherlawyer wrote:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif

It's nice when a complete change of spell is right on target:
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2005

Now I shall have to go into the 2006 thread and rewrite all the ones I
have pencilled in as uncertain wet spells if they are at 09:36 (and by
extenstion: 03:36 06:36 12:36 15:36 18:36 21:36 and 24:36.)

Or will I?
My barometer has risen some 2 inches after languishing on quite low for
a week and more. But quickly change = quickly over. Decisions,
decisions...

Weatherlawyer wrote:
Weatherlawyer wrote:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif

It's nice when a complete change of spell is right on target:
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2005

Now I shall have to go into the 2006 thread and rewrite all the ones I
have pencilled in as uncertain wet spells if they are at 09:36 (and by
extenstion: 03:36 06:36 12:36 15:36 18:36 21:36 and 24:36.)

Or will I?
My barometer has risen some 2 inches after languishing on quite low for
a week and more. But quickly change = quickly over.

Perhaps I should copy and paste this comment on such phases? It is
extemely detailed for such material as is available for VLR weather
forecasting these days. (Not jealous. Not when I think of the relative
term "VLR".)

Will Hand wrote:
================================================== ==============================
===

This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the
privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may
unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever
for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of
freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish to
share freely with others.

================================================== ==============================
===


Summary valid for Sunday 11/12/05 to Saturday 17/12/05
TOI (time of issue) Thursday 08/12/05 2030 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Confidence is very high that the weather this week will be dominated by an
intense anticyclone slowly transferring westwards into the Atlantic. High
confidence for a lot of dry weather, especially in the west and south, but only
moderate confidence for cloud amounts, fog, frost and precipitation coming down
from the north later.

On Sunday through to Tuesday most of the British Isles will be dry with mainly
light winds. Possibly some light rain or drizzle at times over Scotland where
winds could freshen from the west or northwest to moderate or strong. Variable
amounts of cloud with some breaks to the lee and over high ground. Cloud breaks
at night will lead to patchy fog and frost otherwise temperatures will be close
to or just below normal in the south but mild in the north and west. Possibly
exceptionally mild over high ground and to the lee of high ground in the north.

During Wednesday a front is likely to push down from the north down the eastern
side of the country introducing a strong north or northwest flow to these areas
turning it colder. Some rain spreading south down eastern areas. Generally light
but cold enough for some wintry precipitation on high ground. Western areas of
both Scotland and England and the whole of Wales and Northern Ireland likely to
stay mainly dry and bright with freshening north or northwest winds and turning
colder.

Little change for the rest of the week with Scotland and eastern parts of
England likely to stay rather cold and cloudy with fresh to strong north or
northwest winds bringing rain at times. Probably some sleet and snow on high
ground in Scotland. Some showers likely in western areas too, possibly wintry on
high ground but winds will be lighter with less cloud and sunny spells.
Temperatures below normal in the west with frost at night later.

Outlook for the following week with low confidence is for eastern areas to stay
rather cold, mainly cloudy with some rain, sleet or snow in fresh north to
northwest winds. Western areas drier and brighter with lighter winds. Perhaps
turning milder later with more general rain and strengthening winds spreading
from the northwest.

Finally here is the sledging and winter walking forecast for Dartmoor for
weekend 10/11th Dec:

No snow is expected to lie or fall on Dartmoor during the weekend. Freezing
levels will be well above the summits.

Will Hand

Chief forecaster USW/HMO
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

http://groups.google.co.uk/group/uk....fb9a7296d0b94e

Weatherlawyer wrote:

It's nice when a complete change of spell is right on target:
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2005

The BBC weatherman has just given the next change of weather spells is
due on Friday (the 16th.)

15 DEC. 16:15 is going to be a cold, sleety spell by the look of it. If
they are right, it shows that not all cyclonic activity is warm stuff.
That's if we do get a Low of course.

There many a slip made of clayey dip.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

15 DEC. 16:15 is going to be a cold, sleety spell by the look of it. If
they are right, it shows that not all cyclonic activity is warm stuff.
That's if we do get a Low of course.

Some regions of the UK have had snow. It's been nice here though, with
beautiful dawns and sunsets and very sunny days so far. Frosty nights
indicate clear skies at night too but no sign of mist -something that
dogged weather of the same temperature last spell.

This is what I had posted for December:
DEC. 1 15:01 = Thunder spell.
DEC. 8 09:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC. 15 16:15 = Wet spell. *
DEC. 23 19:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC. 31 03:12 = Thundery spell.

* Well this is certainly not a wet spell. It is a very nice High. So
watch out for problems!

If you can devide the time of the phase by 3 it should be a cloudy
overcast spell with some mist or drizzle.
If there is a remainder of nearly an hour it will be a wet spell - or
should be.
If there is a remainder of 2 the weather should be fine.

Which leaves phases that arrive on or near the half hour. The two above
are different. The one from the 8th was a nice if very misty spell. It
fell between a thundery and a cyclonic. Well there was plenty of
moisture in the air. When Britain had hedgerows, the ditches beneath
them would have been wet -if not running.

Apparently the take up of water into the soil is very efficient if
there are leaves on the trees when there is a mist. An odd one.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

15 DEC. 16:15 is going to be a cold, sleety spell by the look of it. If
they are right, it shows that not all cyclonic activity is warm stuff.
That's if we do get a Low of course.

Some regions of the UK have had snow. It's been nice here though, with
beautiful dawns and sunsets and very sunny days so far. Frosty nights
indicate clear skies at night too but no sign of mist -something that
dogged weather of the same temperature last spell.

Well, it was an odd one. We had a particularly cold patch in middle of
it. The weather should have been cyclonic but the pressure was qite
high.


This is what I had posted for December:
DEC. 1 15:01 = Thunder spell.
DEC. 8 09:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC. 15 16:15 = Wet spell. *
DEC. 23 19:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC. 31 03:12 = Thundery spell.

* Well this is certainly not a wet spell. It is a very nice High. So
watch out for problems!

Assuming the weather is "off" because of a looming earthquake, this
next one is going to be a right sod to play with.

Which leaves this to be decided: 23rd Dec 19:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
Actually it is between a cyclonic spell and an anticyclonic one. No
wonder I hate trying to forcast them.

I would have just said this spell is either a rif=dge col or trough but
withsomething brewing that can not be factored in there is much more to
it than that.

The best way to suss thes types out is to find a run of them in times
past and check the available weather records. (And the tectonic ones.)