19th October 08:33. http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

On Oct 19, 7:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
19th October 08:33.http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

"No watches in effect."

You can recall previous dates for the effected watches on that site.
(Rather like you can order in a French Restaurant despite not
understanding any French, once you have eaten the meal.)

There may not be any tornadoes affecting the USA but there are some
somewhere. Asia perhaps.

On Oct 20, 7:03 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Oct 19, 7:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

19th October 08:33.http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

"No watches in effect."

You can recall previous dates for the effected watches on that site.
(Rather like you can order in a French Restaurant despite not
understanding any French, once you have eaten the meal.)

There may not be any tornadoes affecting the USA but there are some
somewhere. Asia perhaps.

Or perhaps not:

1. TYPHOON 19W (KAJIKI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 24.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

There is a difference to the way that North West Pacific (Asian
Pacific) wind speeds are valued compared to those of the North
Atlantic and East Pacific. However whatever their derivation the
sustained wind speeds put this storm in the Cat 3 Saffir Simpson
class, I think.

The weather is of the sort that should be expected when the time of
the phase is at 5 or 11 o'clock in the absence of hurricanes and
tornadic cells. Classification aside, this thing has knocked the time
frame back 3 1/2 hours.
(Interesting!)

So a Saffir-Simpson value of 1 takes the spell back by somewhere
between one half and a full hour? (If I can find the values for that,
I'd have a direct method of analysing seismic disturbances. And
reinvent the wheel. (I shall have less punctures in mine,
Weatherlawyer's pneumoment-tenses.))

In the meantime, a contemporary weather forecaster has stated that
this spell has settled. (It is what the last spell should have been
but failed miserably to be -except at its beginning and at its end.

(I have no explanation for why that occurred the way it did.

Perhaps a series of lesser quakes in the cell around the Marianas,
Loyalty Islands, Fiji and New Zealand accounted for it? I'll have to
cogitate anon.)

All in all a rewarding if perplexing set of spells so far.

On Oct 20, 7:03 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Oct 19, 7:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

19th October 08:33.http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

"No watches in effect."

You can recall previous dates for the effected watches on that site.
(Rather like you can order in a French Restaurant despite not
understanding any French, once you have eaten the meal.)

There may not be any tornadoes affecting the USA but there are some
somewhere. Asia perhaps.

Or perhaps not:

1. TYPHOON 19W (KAJIKI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 24.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

There is a difference to the way that North West Pacific (Asian
Pacific) wind speeds are valued compared to those of the North
Atlantic and East Pacific. However whatever their derivation the
sustained wind speeds put this storm in the Cat 3 Saffir Simpson
class, I think.

The weather is of the sort that should be expected when the time of
the phase is at 5 or 11 o'clock in the absence of hurricanes and
tornadic cells. Classification aside, this thing has knocked the time
frame back 3 1/2 hours.
(Interesting!)

So a Saffir-Simpson value of 1 takes the spell back by somewhere
between one half and a full hour? (If I can find the values for that,
I'd have a direct method of analysing seismic disturbances. And
reinvent the wheel. (I shall have less punctures in mine,
Weatherlawyer's pneumoment-tenses.))

In the meantime, a contemporary weather forecaster has stated that
this spell has settled. (It is what the last spell should have been
but failed miserably to be -except at its beginning and at its end.

(I have no explanation for why that occurred the way it did.

Perhaps a series of lesser quakes in the cell around the Marianas,
Loyalty Islands, Fiji and New Zealand accounted for it? I'll have to
cogitate anon.)

All in all a rewarding if perplexing set of spells so far.

On Oct 20, 6:10 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Oct 20, 7:03 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

On Oct 19, 7:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

19th October 08:33.http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

"No watches in effect."

You can recall previous dates for the effected watches on that site.
(Rather like you can order in a French Restaurant despite not
understanding any French, once you have eaten the meal.)

There may not be any tornadoes affecting the USA but there are some
somewhere. Asia perhaps.

Or perhaps not:

1. TYPHOON 19W (KAJIKI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 24.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

There is a difference to the way that North West Pacific (Asian
Pacific) wind speeds are valued compared to those of the North
Atlantic and East Pacific. However whatever their derivation the
sustained wind speeds put this storm in the Cat 3 Saffir Simpson
class, I think.

The weather is of the sort that should be expected when the time of
the phase is at 5 or 11 o'clock in the absence of hurricanes and
tornadic cells. Classification aside, this thing has knocked the time
frame back 3 1/2 hours.
(Interesting!)

So a Saffir-Simpson value of 1 takes the spell back by somewhere
between one half and a full hour? (If I can find the values for that,
I'd have a direct method of analysing seismic disturbances. And
reinvent the wheel. (I shall have less punctures in mine,
Weatherlawyer's pneumoment-tenses.))

In the meantime, a contemporary weather forecaster has stated that
this spell has settled. (It is what the last spell should have been
but failed miserably to be -except at its beginning and at its end.

(I have no explanation for why that occurred the way it did.

Perhaps a series of lesser quakes in the cell around the Marianas,
Loyalty Islands, Fiji and New Zealand accounted for it? I'll have to
cogitate anon.)

All in all a rewarding if perplexing set of spells so far.

It's down to 75 knots now and gusts of 90. So it has dropped to Saffir-
Simpson 1 or 2. Today's weather should be interesting.

Revealing I mean, interesting if you live in California.

On Oct 22, 7:50 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

It's down to 75 knots now and gusts of 90. So it has dropped to Saffir-
Simpson 1 or 2. Today's weather should be revealing.


Both storms in the Pacific have died down, Kiko is still alive but on
it's last legs for now. Meanwhile something is kicking off each side
of Indonesia:

2007/10/22

5.0 14:47 -4.727 152.689 P.N.G.
5.0 12:14 -2.886 141.452 P.N.G.
4.7 2 10 -15.103 167.311 VANUATU
5.0 08:17 -2.990 141.416 P.N.G.
5.2 06:14 -2.906 141.492 P.N.G.
5.8 06:11 -2.961 141.364 P.N.G.

KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA

5.3 16:25 -3.633 100.840 INDONESIA
4.6 16:25 -3.650 100.734 INDONESIA
5.5 14:24 -3.576 100.769 INDONESIA
5.4 12:40 -3.303 100.368 INDONESIA
5.1 12:34 -3.383 100.358 INDONESIA

Over here things seem to be returning to the kind of overcast and
marked striations that the phase might normally give.

Cold and overcast with little sharply defined striations in the cloud
cover is more a 6 or 12 o'clock event. So that means the time of the
phase is now the equivalent of something more likely seen with a phase
2 1/2 hours earlier.

So we should be getting back to the tornadic disposition:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

Contemporary (via MetO) forecasts are slotting rain in the next few
days. Mainly for Thursday. Stay tuned.

On Oct 23, 2:54 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Contemporary (via MetO) forecasts are slotting rain in the next few
days. Mainly for Thursday. Stay tuned.

That is a day before the next phase - which should be fine weather.
Odd.
Still it poured all or most of what should have been a fine spell.

Superb day again today. No cloud and no wind. This sort of weather
then, must be par for the course when the time of the phase is at
08:33.

And this means that there is a synergy involved with the three phases:
Oct 11 05:01 Oct 19 08:33 Oct 26 04:52.

So we look set to be getting another very large earthquake somewhere
near or just past the end of this run. (The first of November brings a
phase at the time when thunder is to be expected in the UK.)

On Oct 19, 7:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
19th October 08:33.http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html

This one has tornadoes all over it.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

It was quite an active spell according to my Google Alerts.