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18:40
Mar 21 18:40 http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html A most unstable spell. Nothing knew there. Sum previous stuff: 1997 27 June **12:42 4 July **18:40 11 August **12:43 16 September **18:50 9 October **12:22 1998 1 July **18:43 1999 16 February **06:39 17 March **18:48 30 May **06:40 16 December **00:50 2000 8 July **12 :53 22 August **18 :51 2001 16 Jan **12:35 13 Jul **18:45 8 Nov **12:21 15 Nov **06:40 2002 20 Apr **12:48 27 Dec **00:31 2003 23 May **00:31 29 Jun **18:39 29 Jul **06:53 20 Aug **00:48 3 Sept **12:34 18 Oct **12:31 25 Oct **12:50 2004 5 Dec **00:53 2005 2 Apr **00:50 3 Sept **18:45 25 Sept **06:41 2006 7 Sept **18:42 2007 3 Jan 13:57 11 Jan **12:45 24 Apr **06:36 14 Jul **12:4 22 Jul **06:29 30 Jul **00:48 11 Sept **12:44 1 Dec **12:44 2008 21 Mar **18:40 |
18:40
On Mar 21, 12:50 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Mar 21 18:40 http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html A most unstable spell. Nothing knew there. Sum previous stuff: 1997 11 August **12:43 16 September **18:50 9 October **12:22 1998 1999 16 February **06:39 17 March **18:48 2000 22 August **18 :51 2001 2002 20 Apr **12:48 2003 20 Aug **00:48 3 Sept **12:34 18 Oct **12:31 25 Oct **12:50 2004 2005 2 Apr **00:50 3 Sept **18:45 25 Sept **06:41 2006 7 Sept **18:42 2007 24 Apr **06:36 11 Sept **12:44 2008 21 Mar **18:40 Having removed the dates whose solar declinations are not as close as they might be, I can look up what earthquakes were taking place during or shortly after the spells left. Ditto for tropical storms. Which still leaves a data collection agency for other storms short of a suitable argument for exactitude. But fortunately we have as a control: Great Britain. And there are suitable records of weather types over there. Here is one example: http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0801.htm http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0802.htm To get the desired year and month you just change the numbers at the end of the URL. Here is a list of what is available along with what should be available shortly. http://groups.google.com/group/uk.sc...a32f2e99df224# I wonder if the MetO still has its data. Something went wrong with their data about 1994/96~ish so I can't recommend it. All in all it is rather hop-scotch. But hardly chaos theory. |
18:40
On Mar 21, 11:32 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
All in all it is rather hop-scotch. But hardly chaos theory. If you really want to put your head in the big saucepan, have a look at these: 2008/03/21 5.0 M. 12:56 32.9 N 141.6 E. Depth 10.0 Izu Islands, Japan 5.0 M. 06:16 35.6 N 81.6 E. Depth 10.0 Xinjiang-Xizang 5.0 M. 04:03 35.4 N 81.5 E. Depth 11.1 Xinjiang-Xizang 5.2 M. 00:26 35.3 N 81.3 E. Depth 10.0 Xinjiang-Xizang 5.2 M. 00:09 -15.1 S 174.7 W. Depth 35.0 Tonga 2008/03/20 5.5 M. 23:12 35.5 N 81.4 E. Depth 17.7 Xinjiang-Xizang 5.3 M. 22:51 35.3 N 81.5 E. Depth 10.0 Xinjiang-Xizang 7.2 M. 22:33 35.5 N 81.4 E. Depth 22.9 Xinjiang-Xizang 6.0 M. 14:11 6.2 N 126.9 E. Depth 33.6 Mindanao, Philippines 5.4 M. 12:16 1.6 N 127.3 E. Depth 108.8 Halmahera, Indonesia 5.2 M. 11:56 6.9 S 155.3 E. Depth 27.4 Bougainville PNG 6.2 M. 08:23 28.9 S 177.495 W. Depth 49.5 Kermadec Islands I don't consider the depth or the time of any great importance but perhaps they are. Thnkfully we don't have to consider too many examples. In fact if you don't want to lose it all you aught to drop most of these and just pick one or two and draw yur own margins. After yu notice something interesting follow it up on the others and from there widen out the idea to other concepts. And don't give up when some of them fall down. There will be their own particular modifications to the model you see a shape in. OK here is the problem: All of the above are related to a weather front crossing their own particular fault zone. It isn't so much a fault zone. I doubt there is any such thing as a geologist/seismologist would describe it to himself in his or her self deception. It is more likely a mascon discontinuity. Which differs from the Mohorovicic discontinuity in that a Moho is an example of wave harmonics. A mascon discontinuity for want of a better phrase, is an event horizon of some sort. (Nothing to do with that daft ideo of black holes or any such silliness.) Suspend your beliefs and for that matter your disbeliefs and find the matching storm fronts. |
18:40
All in all a cold spell so far. Wide spread snow showers all over
Britain but nothing terribly severe. A lot of sun in it too. I guess it was due to the High pressure system in the Atlantic and the Low in the North Sea. Both bringing down polar air and mixing it up pretty thoroughly. |
18:40
On Mar 25, 1:49 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
All in all a cold spell so far. Wide spread snow showers all over Britain but nothing terribly severe. A lot of sun in it too. I guess it was due to the High pressure system in the Atlantic and the Low in the North Sea. Both bringing down polar air and mixing it up pretty thoroughly. Britain is battening down its hatches again. Meanwhile there looks to be something interesting developing with the lack of large mags since early Monday: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qaad.php |
18:40
On Mar 26, 10:42 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qaad.php A deep Baltic Low he http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm And an High stepping off the USA at Florida: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html It should be a biggie or maybe a cyclone with a series of Mag 6s dotted over the planet. |
18:40
On Mar 26, 10:52 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qaad.php A deep Baltic Low he http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm And an High stepping off the USA at Florida: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html It should be a biggie or maybe a cyclone with a series of Mag 6s dotted over the planet. Probably the latter as Pancho is at 70 knots now and due 80 tomorrow: http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh2608.gif (That's an increase from 50 to 80 mph overnight. (Sustained wind speeds near the core.)) My belli had been ringing for a casu majori at Xinjiang again but: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qbat.php |
18:40
On Mar 26, 11:37 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 26, 10:52 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qaad.php A deep Baltic Low he http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm And an High stepping off the USA at Florida: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html It should be a biggie or maybe a cyclone with a series of Mag 6s dotted over the planet. Probably the latter as Pancho is at 70 knots now and due 80 tomorrow: http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh2608.gif (That's an increase from 50 to 80 mph overnight. (Sustained wind speeds near the core.)) My belli had been ringing for a casu majori at Xinjiang again but:http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...us2008qbat.php 95 knots on the Hawaii site now that's the upper limit of a Cat 2. It has produced or occurred at the same time as a marked improvement in the weather here. |
18:40
Panch dropped to a mere hurricane force overnight and we had the rain
to prove it. It seems to me that typhoons in that area always make for Shark Bay no matter what. They drop into the Antarctic as soon as they can pass those standing highs just below the tropics. This seems to require a modicum of fillage. Something for future research there I think. OK, the set up for the next spell is already in place for the USA. At 21:47 it puts the sun in Alaska's Time Zone and the moon in Mississippiissiiss'ss. http://www.mapsofworld.com/time-zone...-time-zone.jpg That's ten hours west and two east for the sun and 6 hours west and east for the moon. Looks looks a similar pattern to the last one: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html A little less messy perhaps and I think I have seen it somewhere before. |
18:40
Weatherlawyer wrote: Panch dropped to a mere hurricane force overnight and we had the rain to prove it. It seems to me that typhoons in that area always make for Shark Bay no matter what. They drop into the Antarctic as soon as they can pass those standing highs just below the tropics. This seems to require a modicum of fillage. Something for future research there I think. OK, the set up for the next spell is already in place for the USA. At 21:47 it puts the sun in Alaska's Time Zone and the moon in Mississippiissiiss'ss. http://www.mapsofworld.com/time-zone...-time-zone.jpg That's ten hours west and two east for the sun and 6 hours west and east for the moon. Looks looks a similar pattern to the last one: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html A little less messy perhaps and I think I have seen it somewhere before. I've said something about this sort of thing previously too: 5.1 2008/03/29 02:23 0.7N 127E.10.0 MOLUCCA SEA 5.4 2008/03/29 01:53 1.1N 126E 10.0 MOLUCCA SEA I can't imagine what, though. |
18:32
On Mar 29, 3:45 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Weatherlawyer wrote: Panch dropped to a mere hurricane force overnight and we had the rain to prove it. It seems to me that typhoons in that area always make for Shark Bay no matter what. They drop into the Antarctic as soon as they can pass those standing highs just below the tropics. This seems to require a modicum of fillage. Something for future research there I think. OK, the set up for the next spell is already in place for the USA. At 21:47 it puts the sun in Alaska's Time Zone and the moon in Mississippiissiiss'ss. http://www.mapsofworld.com/time-zone...-time-zone.jpg That's ten hours west and two east for the sun and 6 hours west and east for the moon. Looks looks a similar pattern to the last one: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html A little less messy perhaps and I think I have seen it somewhere before. I've said something about this sort of thing previously too: 5.1 2008/03/29 02:23 0.7N 127E.10.0 MOLUCCA SEA 5.4 2008/03/29 01:53 1.1N 126E 10.0 MOLUCCA SEA I can't imagine what, though. Fool's Irk le: 18:32 12 to 20 Apr 18:32 |
18:32
On Apr 12, 12:12 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 29, 3:45 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: Weatherlawyer wrote: Panch dropped to a mere hurricane force overnight and we had the rain to prove it. It seems to me that typhoons in that area always make for Shark Bay no matter what. They drop into the Antarctic as soon as they can pass those standing highs just below the tropics. This seems to require a modicum of fillage. Something for future research there I think. OK, the set up for the next spell is already in place for the USA. At 21:47 it puts the sun in Alaska's Time Zone and the moon in Mississippiissiiss'ss. http://www.mapsofworld.com/time-zone...-time-zone.jpg That's ten hours west and two east for the sun and 6 hours west and east for the moon. Looks looks a similar pattern to the last one: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html A little less messy perhaps and I think I have seen it somewhere before. I've said something about this sort of thing previously too: 5.1 2008/03/29 02:23 0.7N 127E.10.0 MOLUCCA SEA 5.4 2008/03/29 01:53 1.1N 126E 10.0 MOLUCCA SEA I can't imagine what, though. Fool's Irk le: 18:32 12 to 20 Apr 18:32 No quakes greater than 5 M since 18:20 something last night. So maybe we are in for a bit of a blow. The Arctic high is looking stringy but it is still a blocking high. Things are a little more of a sandwich in the N Pacific. A 1024 High on the coast of Asia or rather just off it. 975 Low at the far end of the Aleutians. 1044 High over Hawaii and a 988 Low tucked into the arc of Pacific under Alaska and heading for British Colombia. Those are sum positive (not very) anomalies. In the North Atlantic apart from a 1030 High over Greenland and something not so High stretching up to the Med. from warmer waters, 1026 H, the North Atlantic is full of not very low Lows. Things seem very nice here. And that stormy weather seems to have cleared the USA. Maybe we will get a storm in a few days. Maybe it is slated for North America once more. |
18:32
On Apr 13, 2:07 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
No quakes greater than 5 M since 18:20 something last night. So maybe we are in for a bit of a blow. The Arctic high is looking stringy but it is still a blocking high. Things are a little more of a sandwich in the N Pacific. A 1024 High on the coast of Asia or rather just off it. 975 Low at the far end of the Aleutians. 1044 High over Hawaii and a 988 Low tucked into the arc of Pacific under Alaska and heading for British Colombia. Those are sum positive (not very) anomalies. In the North Atlantic apart from a 1030 High over Greenland and something not so High stretching up to the Med. from warmer waters, 1026 H, the North Atlantic is full of not very low Lows. Things seem very nice here. And that stormy weather seems to have cleared the USA. Maybe we will get a storm in a few days. Maybe it is slated for North America once more. A 5 Mag. quake has just appeared on the NEIC list. Unless -or more probably, given the weather locally, until it is downgraded it would appear there is no storm due. Which leaves me looking as foolish as my inferiors would have it, I am seeing there is such a deep low in the North Pacific. |
18:32
On Apr 13, 6:02 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
A 5 Mag. quake has just appeared on the NEIC list. Unless -or more probably, given the weather locally, until it is downgraded it would appear there is no storm due. Which leaves me looking as foolish as my inferiors would have it, I am seeing there is such a deep low in the North Pacific. April 24 to May 2 2007 http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0704.htm http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0705.htm High pressure lay over or close to the British Isles throughout the month, apart from the 21st-25th when a rather humid south to southwesterly airflow covered the country. From the 21st. A moist south to south-westerly airflow affected the country for the next four days. A drop in temperature over northern Britain on the 16th affected all except southernmost counties over the next few days, and in Shetland there were snow showers with a high at Lerwick of 3.5°C on the 19th; overnight frosts were widespread; Kinbrace (Sutherland) recorded -3.9°C early on the 20th. The next few days were much warmer (23.5°C at Gravesend, Kent, on the 22nd), and overnight temperatures were remarkably high for the season on 23rd/24th and 24th/25th with a minimum at St James's Park (London) on the latter night of 14.5°C, but it became generally cloudy with outbreaks of rain. The rain was heaviest in upland western districts with 90mm in 72h at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) of which 59mm fell on the 23rd alone, but amounts in eastern and southern England were derisory, and a few locations escaped altogether. High pressure re-established itself over the UK on the 26th, migrating to northern Scotland during the last few days of the month, and it became mostly fine and warm except near North Sea coasts which were plagued by haar. Districts bordering the Solent were particularly favoured with highs of 22-25°C on each of the last four days. April's high pressure persisted until the 5th May. The anomalous flow over the UK was WNW-ly. With an anticyclone located just north of Scotland, east to northeasterly winds affected Britain until the 5th, maintaining the dry and settled weather which had characterised April. The best of the sunshine and highest temperatures were found in southern and western districts while eastern and central areas were cool and cloudy at times. Hurn (Dorset), reached 24°C on both the 1st and 2nd, while Tulloch Bridge had a diurnal range of 24.4 degC (-2.1°C to 22.3°C) on the 2nd. Valley (Anglesey) logged 66h of bright sunshine during the first five days of the month, and at Tiree (Inner Hebrides) the sun shone for 118h between 26th April and 5th May. March 21 to 29 2008 http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0803.htm A deepening depression tracked from Iceland past Shetland to Denmark during the 20th bringing some rain, strong winds, and temporary rise in temperature (up to 15.0°C at Leuchars), but in the rear of the depression northerly winds returned with renewed vigour. The Easter holiday (21st-24th) was one of the coldest on record with sharp night frosts and widespread snow and hail showers, although amounts of snow were mostly slight. It was windy on the 21st and 22nd with a gust of 70kn at Langdon Bay (Kent) on the latter date, but winds subsequently subsided. On the 24th the temperature remained below zero all day at a few sites in the highlands, notably at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) where the maximum that day was -0.9°C, and early on the 26th the mercury sank to -11.4°C at Braemar and to -11.1°C at Altnaharra (Sutherland). Milder but changeable and rather windy weather returned for the last few days of the month, and all areas had outbreaks of rain. The 30th was rather warm with long sunny spells but also isolated thunderstorms, and Howden (East Yorkshire) reported a high of 15.1°C http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0803.htm http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0704.htm http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0705.htm |
18:32
There is an hint of meovement he
http://satellite.ehabich.info/hurricane-watch.htm The other site I use is not functional. 56 kmh isn't much (30 knots - as fast as ships go when they go fast) but there is a Low slipping into the Arctic from the North Pacific. A major High on its east coast though: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif |
18:32
On Apr 14, 11:10 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
A major High on its east coast though:http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif And now there is a major high nestled to the est of the Appalachians. I have no idea which way it will go from there but I expect some metaphorical fireworks when it does cross the shelf. |
18:32
On Apr 15, 6:57 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
A major High on its east coast though: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif And now there is a major high nestled to the est of the Appalachians. I have no idea which way it will go from there but I expect some metaphorical fireworks when it does cross the shelf. The http://www.hurricanezone.net/ site is screwed up as is usually the case with one link or another whenever things get interesting. Which is why I failed to report that the http://satellite.ehabich.info/hurricane-watch.htm site is reporting two almost identical storms. They exist within a few miles of each other and are on the same course at similar intensities. Quite odd behaviour. Probably indicative of the events about to take place, probably when that US high hits the seashore. Though by the look of it, it could go north up the coast. Then again it might just hang on long enough to see the spell out right where it is. |
18:32
On Apr 16, 2:24 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Apr 15, 6:57 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: A major High on its east coast though: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif And now there is a major high nestled to the west of the Appalachians. I have no idea which way it will go from there but I expect some metaphorical fireworks when it does cross the shelf. http://www.hurricanezone.net/site is screwed up as is usually the case with one link or another whenever things get interesting. Which is why I failed to report that the http://satellite.ehabich.info/hurricane-watch.htm site is reporting two almost identical storms. They exist within a few miles of each other and are on the same course at similar intensities. Quite odd behaviour. Probably indicative of the events about to take place, probably when that US high hits the seashore. So, in the absence of or, at the end of a Polar High, the flow of highs and lows across North America is west to east with the vortices crossing the Appalachians unimpeded. At least I can now dispense with such equivocation as: Though by the look of it, it could go north up the coast. Then again it might just hang on long enough to see the spell out right where it is. Though it still begs the question: Why do some vortices go north as if under the influence of that chain and some ignore it? And one or two for those who would pursue truth despite the aegises of the more august: Why was the related earthquake not humongous if the high was so large? There has been a series of earthquakes of Magnitude 6 or larger since the middle of the last spell. Search and see. Before April this year, there was a dearth of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6 or more. Since then we had spate of them, all of them -until the end of that spell on the 12th, at Loyalty Islands. Then with this one they moved to higher latitudes. from the edge of a Tropic to the middle of both latitudes. How and why? |
18:32
The long standing high over the eastern United States:
http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html has finally pushed off into the sea and looks set to be replaced by another high once a storm has passed through. Only it is now the 19th and the next spell starts on the 20th: 10:25, one that is remarkably similar to the spell for 14th to 21st March: 10:46. I wonder what cyclogenesis the USA had then. Here is a record of British weather that month: http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0803.htm A depression developed in the southwest approaches on the 14th, thence travelling slowly across southern England on the 15th and 16th; the temperature climbed to 15.4°C at Gravesend (Kent) on the 15th before the rain set in, then most central and southern parts of England and Wales had 18 hours of continuous rain amounting to 25-45mm, and to 60mm at Raunds (Northants). At several places this was the heaviest March fall in a single day on record. In the wake of the depression a northerly flow became established but a temporary rise in pressure meant that the period 17th-19th was cold and quite sunny with night frosts, while snow and hail showers were confined to eastern counties. Ronaldsway (Isle of Man) measured 11.1h of bright sunshine on the 17th, while Tulloch Bridge (Lochaber) fell to -7.0°C early on the 19th. A deepening depression tracked from Iceland past Shetland to Denmark during the 20th bringing some rain, strong winds, and temporary rise in temperature (up to 15.0°C at Leuchars), but in the rear of the depression northerly winds returned with renewed vigour. From my records of that Unisys map there is a lot of cyclogenesis going on for this spell. A lot of it related to that Pacific High. There was a tropical storm down toward Madagascar at the time. I don't have a clue where there would be one this time, if any. Last month a tornado struck the heart of down town Atlanta on Friday 14th. The other places were in South Carolina, Georgia and Texas. Not that I am saying the next ones will hit the same place. That would be unusual. Those things tend to thwart my predictions if that's any consolation. (More like adding fear and uncertainty to any doubt in my humble but then... -well I suppose we did invade Iraq too...) At least we don't actively (or at least, publicly) support Israel. There wasn't that much going on seismically too neither, until Xinjiang, that is. |
18:32
On Apr 19, 2:23 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
The long standing high over the eastern United States: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat...p_loop.htmlhas finally pushed off into the sea and looks set to be replaced by another high once a storm has passed through. Only it is now the 19th and the next spell starts on the 20th: 10:25, one that is remarkably similar to the spell for 14th to 21st March: 10:46. I wonder what cyclogenesis the USA had then. Here is a record of British weather that month: http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0803.htm A depression developed in the southwest approaches on the 14th, thence travelling slowly across southern England on the 15th and 16th; the temperature climbed to 15.4°C at Gravesend (Kent) on the 15th before the rain set in, then most central and southern parts of England and Wales had 18 hours of continuous rain amounting to 25-45mm, and to 60mm at Raunds (Northants). At several places this was the heaviest March fall in a single day on record. In the wake of the depression a northerly flow became established but a temporary rise in pressure meant that the period 17th-19th was cold and quite sunny with night frosts, while snow and hail showers were confined to eastern counties. Ronaldsway (Isle of Man) measured 11.1h of bright sunshine on the 17th, while Tulloch Bridge (Lochaber) fell to -7.0°C early on the 19th. A deepening depression tracked from Iceland past Shetland to Denmark during the 20th bringing some rain, strong winds, and temporary rise in temperature (up to 15.0°C at Leuchars), but in the rear of the depression northerly winds returned with renewed vigour. From my records of that Unisys map there is a lot of cyclogenesis going on for this spell. A lot of it related to that Pacific High. There was a tropical storm down toward Madagascar at the time. I don't have a clue where there would be one this time, if any. Last month a tornado struck the heart of down town Atlanta on Friday 14th. The other places were in South Carolina, Georgia and Texas. Not that I am saying the next ones will hit the same place. That would be unusual. Those things tend to thwart my predictions if that's any consolation. (More like adding fear and uncertainty to any doubt in my humble but then... -well I suppose we did invade Iraq too...) At least we don't actively (or at least, publicly) support Israel. There wasn't that much going on seismically too neither, until Xinjiang, that is. This would be a good time to start the next thread. A storm brewing in the New Caledonian/Vanuatu/LOYALTY ISLANDS sort of thing. |
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