5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...5d79a372a54a47

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0...

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...fa43bbaed378f#

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

On May 5, 10:00*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/...

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, *perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:





When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

There will be no brighter light as you are the brightest. "could" mean
another eruption? Again, after one eruption of a volcano, so long
dormant, other eruptions are quite likely. Again pure guesswork, on
your part, based upon the increased statistical chance of one eruption
following another.

There are a whole host of ongoing volcanic eruptions, any of which
could be suggested as a result of some other activity. Why latch onto
this one that was completely unpredictable by everyone, including you.
could it be because it is in the news? This is not a major volcanic
eruption, so why even mention it? If another, long-dormant, volcano
erupts, that will take your attention too, I'm sure. Just take a look
at this site and then you'll be able to pick any of the volcanos,
pretend you know something about it and link it to your theories.

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0763388.html

Here's a forecast for you about May's weather, based upon your own
language:

After a warm first 4 days, it would not be unusual if the May CET
ended up above average. May is quite capable of producing a CET 2.5C
above average and after the warmth of the first 4 days, it would not
be unlikely if that happened.

If I was right, it would mean nothing in terms of forecasting may's
weather. If you were right, it would mean nothing in terms of
forecasting an earthquake.

Pick a volcano (OK, we've got this one with a Weatherlawyer; "could
erupt again", which is a likelihood possessed by every single active
volcano in the world and all those that have erupted in recorded
history, plus many more) and tell us when it will erupt. Pick an
earthquake site and tell us when it will fracture. Then do it
again........and again.......and muliply that by 20 and I'll allow you
1/3 failures. Then do it again another 80 times and try to approach
80% accuracy. Then I'll begin call Michael "sir" and support your
ideas.

Or, you could start by telling us what your theories have accurately
predicted, including all those, like the 24th April, that you didn't.
That one poor forecast needs two correct to cancel it out and bring
you to 66%. Where are they? And where are all the other correct
forecasts that back up your theory? Without an accuracy base,
forecasts are simply forecasts. They can only be judged by outcome.

So far today, you have vaguely predicted a 7.5 mag earthquake,
somewhere and said that the volcano Chaiten could erupt again, using
obscure reasoning and timings of events, only understood by yourself.
I won't forget and I will return to them at the end of the week.

On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/...

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:



When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0...

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.

Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:

7 Mar 17:14 This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14 Mar 10:46 5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?

21 Mar 18:40 Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)

29 Mar 21:47 10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6 Apr 03:55 4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)

12 Apr 18:32 Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.

20 Apr 10:25 And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.

28 Apr 14*:12 This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.

5 May 12:18 And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.

12 May 03:47 This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.

20 May 02*:11 This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28 May 02*:57 And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.

And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.

3 Jun 19:23 This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.

10 Jun 15:04 Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18 Jun 17:30 So no hurricanes here unless...

26 Jun 12:10 Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3 Jul 02*:19 Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10 Jul 04:35

18 Jul 07:59 I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25 Jul 18:42 This one is though.

1 Aug 10:13 This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8 Aug 20*:20 I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.

16 Aug 21:16 Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.

23 Aug 23:50 As for the 26th June.

30 Aug 19:58 And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7 Sept 14*:04 After all this one did!

15 Sept 09:13 More sound of the fury signifying nothing?

22 Sept 05:04 And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?

29 Sept 08*:12 There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?

7 Oct 09:04 And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.

14 Oct 20*:03 Is this the last one of the season?
21 Oct 11:55 and 28th Oct 23:14 Or these two.

On May 5, 11:06 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes too.

12th April; 18:32. Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t.../month/2008-04
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...gst&q=18%3A32#

5th May; 12:18. And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April.
And here we are already.

5.3 M. 2008/05/05 21:58. SOUTHERN IRAN

On May 6, 9:28 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
5.3 M. 2008/05/05 21:58. SOUTHERN IRAN

Let's see now maybe that Japanese storm was too far north for the
regular coverage such things normally get from Hawaii:
http://www.hurricanezone.net/

OK, let's go over it again for the hard of reading.

From another thread:

On May 5, 6:37 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

I was actually looking there and didn't see it..
What it was is that something was updating each time I looked so I
just assumed they were newrather than looking at them properly.

Slip shod I know but no one is paying me and if I thought anyone
beside the inane was reading my stuff I'd still be too cursory. A
small flaw in my nature, I am afraid.

5.1 M. 2008/05/05. 00:27. Near the east coast of Honshu, Japan.
5.8 M. 2008/05/03. 19:02. Bougainville region, PNG.

I know not everyone is thick as pig-pooh but I seem to have picked up
a stalker with that qualification, I can't imagine why. But since I am
a nice guy and quite like helping people...

5.3 M. 2008/05/06. 20.4 S. 168.8 E. Loyalty Islands.
5.1 M. 2008/05/06 10:06. 20.3 S. 168.8 E. Loyalty Islands.
5.3 M. 2008/05/05 21:58. 28.4 N. 54.0 E. Southern Iran.

As a rule of thumb, a space of a day or so between earthquakes of
Magnitude 5 or over indicates a severe storm is brewing.

Maybe a 12 hour gap means something, if it does, what it does, I don't
know.

When a storm peters out, the phenomenon of two or more earthquakes in
much the same place as each other, appearing consecutively in the same
NEIC list, occurs.

Another axiom is that the weather in the UK might be bad or (by
British standards) wet, when a storm suddenly blows up, the weather
here then changes to sunny. Of course (for the sake of Dawlish once
more) it goes without saying the storm if arrives in Britain (rather
than for example the tropics) the opposite effect is more likely to be
true.

(I'm sitting here laughing at what the plonker makes of that. Sad or
what?)

A gentle breeze has sprung up and reminded me that some changes are
heralded by the softest zephyrs.

I think this indicates a small change in the planet's weather. But it
will be late morning before we find out how things have turned.

Weatherlawyer wrote in news:ff8dd2ca-2bb0-4ffb-
:

5.3 M. 2008/05/05 21:58. SOUTHERN IRAN


Easy with the one liners. Patra might get upset.

Brian
--
http://www.skywise711.com - Lasers, Seismology, Astronomy, Skepticism
Seismic FAQ: http://www.skywise711.com/SeismicFAQ/SeismicFAQ.html
Quake "predictions": http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html
Sed quis custodiet ipsos Custodes?

On May 5, 11:06*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:





5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/....

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, *perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.

Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:

7 * * * Mar * * 17:14 * This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14 * * *Mar * * 10:46 * 5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?

21 * * *Mar * * 18:40 * Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)

29 * * *Mar * * 21:47 * 10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6 * * * Apr * * 03:55 * 4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)

12 * * *Apr * * 18:32 * *Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.

20 * * *Apr * * 10:25 * And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.

28 * * *Apr * * 14*:12 *This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.

5 * * * May * * 12:18 * And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.

12 * * *May * * 03:47 * This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.

20 * * *May * * 02*:11 *This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28 * * *May * * 02*:57 *And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.

And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.

3 * * * Jun * * 19:23 * This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.

10 * * *Jun * * 15:04 * Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18 * * *Jun * * 17:30 * So no hurricanes here unless...

26 * * *Jun * * 12:10 * Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3 * * * Jul * * 02*:19 *Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10 * * *Jul * * 04:35

18 * * *Jul * * 07:59 * I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25 * * *Jul * * 18:42 * This one is though.

1 * * * Aug * * 10:13 * This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8 * * * Aug * * 20*:20 *I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.

16 * * *Aug * * 21:16 * Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.

23 * * *Aug * * 23:50 * As for the 26th June.

30 * * *Aug * * 19:58 * And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7 * * * Sept * *14*:04 *After all this one did!

15 * * *Sept * *09:13 * More sound of the fury signifying nothing?

22 * * *Sept * *05:04 * And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?

29 * * *Sept * *08*:12 *There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?

7 * * * Oct * * 09:04 * And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.

14 * * *Oct * * 20*:03 *Is this the last one of the season?
21 * * *Oct * * 11:55 and * * * 28th Oct * * * *23:14 * Or these two.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Well, lots of strange timings and little evidence of links. Your
commentary is commendably consistent. Consistently useless and
unintelligable. Does anyone else iunderstand a word of what you are
saying? Esotericism does not equal truth.

Nothing, so far, to show that your theories have EVER predicted
anything with any statistical accuracy. You use long-shot statistical
chances and back your reasoning up with thin air, in terms of success
percentage.

Show us, with clarity that you have ever predicted anything in a
particular location accurately. Then show us you have done it
again....and again.....and again. That's what you have to do to
convince.

Difficult, isn't it?

Anything?

On May 5, 11:26 pm, Dawlish wrote:

Show us, with clarity that you have ever predicted anything

I predict that one day you may or may not grasp the eloquence of
Nettiquette.