Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#21
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
In article , Noah Little writes:
Tim K. wrote: wrote in message m... I think you are suffering from a thingie called cognitive dissonance. Hurricanes are a fact of living anywhere close to a coast. It is like living in a snow belt. There is nothing you can do about preventing 2-foot dumps onto your driveway. There is a lot you can do to plan for the days you will be house-bound w.r.t. food, water, and removing enough snow _after_ the storm stops so you can get out and go to work. Look up the definition of c a t a s t r o p h e and get back to me. Trust me on this -- I do not have a dog in this fight -- a hurricane is not a catastrophe. A hurricane hitting a populated area is a catastrophe. -- Not even this. A hurricane hitting a populated area where the population experienced hurricanes before but still failed to prepare adequately, that's a catastrophe. Mati Meron | "When you argue with a fool, | chances are he is doing just the same" |
#22
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote in message oups.com... James Toupin wrote: (snipped) While I am not a professional scientist, I do have a "scientific mind", as you put it. I have not forgotten volcanic ash or meteoric ash and dust as an agent in cooling the atmosphere. However, volcanic ash or dust ejected by the impact of a meteorite is not at all similar to "aluminums sequins". Both volcanic ash and impact debris does not so much reflect solar radiation away from the earth as simply blocking the radiation from striking the surface, particularly in the visible and infrared wavelengths. And, oddly enough, while it cools the earth by blocking sunlight from reaching the earth's surface, it also acts as a thermal blanket trapping whatever heat is generated by the planet and it's life processes thus keeping the temperature from droping as dramatically as it would otherwise. Sorry to say, but you lack a scientific mind when you do not realize that an analogy of factual data disprove your argument. You admit that volcanic dust cools Earth. You admit that meteoric ash cools Earth. But then your unscientific mind refuses to believe that Aluminum Aluminium Sequin would magnify by powers of 10 the cooling of Volcanic/Meteoric ash would cool. You admit volcanic ash cools Earth, so why do you refuse to accept that a Aluminium Sequin particle would cool Earth by perhaps 10^9 greater than a volcanic ash particle. Unless you are arguing just to be arguing. I am sure that aluminium sequins would indeed have an effect on the atmosphere at the temperature of the Earth's surface. What I don't accept is your argument that it would only reflect incoming solar radiation away from Earth and not also trap heat in like a thermal blanket. It's not that I don't accept it, rather that humanity messing with the environment has not ever turned out well before. We need to keep that in mind before we do anything to interfere with the natural processes. Actually, there is not even a need to invoke the examples of volcanic and meteoric activity, as this is a fairly well known principle to meteorologists and a mater of common sense that , I imagine, even grade school children have perceived. An overcast day is cooler than a clear one, while a clear night is cooler than an overcast one. This is because, during the night the earth radiates heat energy, in the form of infrared radiation, back into space reducing the temperature. The cloud cover stops the heat from being radiated away and traps the heat in the atmosphere. In the region of the Equator where the Gulf Sea lies there are a density number of incoming photons from the Sun and likewise for this density number of a given cross section of space there is a number of photons outgoing from the Earth which is very very small compared to incoming Sun photons. Aluminium Sequin will reflect a very small, very tiny number of outgoing photons from the Earth surface back to the Earth surface. But the number of reflected incoming Sun photons is so huge that to speak of Aluminium Sequin as a blanket to warm Earth is so ridiculous and that is why I called you lacking of a science mind. The amount of solar radiation reflected would be dependent upon: the amount of aluminium used, and the angle at which it is inclined relative to the incoming solar radiation and the surface of the Earth. If it were simply allowed to orbit randomly, the aluminium sequins, which I presume you would have polished to a high reflectivity in order to get the magnitude of order cooling that you suggest, would tumble in space and not consistently reflect radiation away from the Earth at all. By extension, if the aluminium sequins are simply allowed to tumble, why would the reflectivity not be equal when it was facing the surface of the Earth as when it was facing outward? Think about what is the proportion of reflected Sun rays by Earth compared to the number of incoming Sun rays. The reflection of the "Sun rays" - very scientific - is not the issue. The issue is how much solar radiation, particularly in the infrared wavelength is absorbed by earth's ocean and how much heat, generated by that radiation striking the earth, is allowed to escape back into space. It is a precarious balancing act and one that has already been affected by the release of carbon-dioxide into the atmosphere through industrial processes. This carbon-dioxide produces the very "thermal blanket" effect that I have already cited above, which traps the heat in earth's atmosphere that would normally be radiated out into space. What makes you think that Aluminum/Aluminium Sequin does not reflect or absorb infrared wavelength and thus preventing those photons from heating up the oceans. What makes you think that since volcanic ash and meteoric ash can absorb the infrared that the Aluminium does or does not absorb the infrared. And what makes you think that Aluminum does or does not reflect infrared wavelengths. So what is your scientific source for your denial of aluminum as absorbing or reflecting? I don't deny it. The basis for my arguing against it is because I agree that it would indeed reflect and absorb solar radiation. The problem is knowing exactly how that would work in practice. Aluminium sequins allowed to simply tumble would, in essence, scatter the incoming sunlight; reflecting a portion away from the Earth and reflecting a portion towards the Earth. Knowing precisely what these proportions would be is of utmost importance in predicting the effects upon the Earth and it's climate. Also, assuming that these aluminium sequins would be in a geosynchronous orbit to have the desired effect on a particular region, what portion of the heat that was produced during the day would be reflected back towards earth when the region passed into night time? What if cloud cover develops in the same area during the day and intensifies the cooling effect? Or at night and intensifies the thermal blanket effect? There are simply far to many variables for a system such as this to work effectively and as intended. As for aligning the sequin, I do not need to do that. Aluminum sequin is the lowest tech for a Earth Air Conditioner and will be the first such engineering. But after it is in orbit, there is no doubt in my mind that future engineers will make it higher tech with the ability to perhaps align the particles. Perhaps the lowest tech solution would be to simply release dust into the upper atmosphere, or low earth orbit, rather than using reflective aluminum sequins at all. This would not even require the refining process needed to produce aluminum, simply dig up a mound of dirt somewhere. Of course there is still the nasty business of unintended consequences: how would the rest of the climate be effected by the change you purpose? The Gulf Stream and the Global Conveyer are integral to balancing the heat exchange between the middle and lower latitudes. No need for dust when Aluminum by a factor of 10^9 does a better job of cooling Earth. And what effects of this extreme cooling of one part of the ocean produce globally? That is a bit of a worry, wouldn't you agree? There maybe a plant material that may do as well of a job as aluminium sequin. The chaff of agricultural harvesting such as corn stalk chaff or cotton chaff may provide a better material. Perhaps some leaves such as the raking of Fall leaves chaff would be about 1/2 the weight per volume of aluminium sequin. Improvements to Earth Air Conditioner will go on as long as humanity exists, but what I am interested is getting the first one built, made of aluminum sequin. As I said earlier Order is happiness and the more order we have means the more controlling of Hurricanes and also controlling Earth Air Conditioner. Some future day we could perhaps control weather for most of the continental land masses. Order is not always happiness. If you need proof of that simply ask anyone who suffered at the hands of Nazism or Communism, both big believers in order. I am afraid it is. And a sign of a nonscientific mind such as James is to constantly argue against whatever the other person says, and the inability for that mind to ever be "open minded". I am open minded. I am open to many ideas and possibilities. I am also open to the idea of unintended consequences. I feel that the unintended consequences of this plan outweigh any advantage that you may perceive. James As for Nazism and Communism and tyrants and relition-run-states are systems of dogma, just as religion is dogma. At least in the Democratic process as a system there is room in the process to remove falsity and corruption. In dogmatic political systems such as Nazism, Communism, Religion-states, and dictator states there is little to no room to remove corruption or falsehoods and whenever you have corruption and falsehoods you have disorder. Democracy begs and pleads for order to run the country. Democracy hates an environment of corruption, an environment of disorder, an environment where the rule-of-law is not attended to. The concept of happiness and being happy are one and same as the concept of order, whether the order is in controlling hurricanes so they do not destroy your life or whether it is the happiness that your government enforces rule of law. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#23
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() James Toupin wrote: I am sure that aluminium sequins would indeed have an effect on the atmosphere at the temperature of the Earth's surface. What I don't accept is your argument that it would only reflect incoming solar radiation away from Earth and not also trap heat in like a thermal blanket. It's not that I don't accept it, rather that humanity messing with the environment has not ever turned out well before. We need to keep that in mind before we do anything to interfere with the natural processes. My argument never said all radiation is reflected into outer space, so please do not put words into my mouth. You need a lesson in physics and I need practice in lecturing about physics. Most of the Sun radiation, EM radiation that strikes Earth surface is in the visible wavelength, but I do not have a percentage of that and am guessing about 70% that strikes Earth surface is Visible Light which makes sense in that photosynthesis is based on visible range of light. The Infrared range of Sunlight seldom strikes the surface of Earth and is absorbed by the atmosphere of Earth. So the comment by James that ocean waters are heated up due to infrared radiation and the bulk of the cause of hurricanes is not true. Apparently the main contributor of the heating up of ocean waters is Visible Light. Also, Infrared region of EM spectrum reflects easily by mirrors and by aluminum sequin. The infrared telescopes in use are positioned on high level mountains that are dry mountains. It is given that aluminium reflects the Visible range of Sunlight. So by putting aluminium or aluminum sequin into orbit will easily reflect alot of Visible and Infrared radiation coming from the Sun. Now there is a small contribution of infrared radiation due to Earth itself of its radioactivity and the fact it is a body above zero kelvin temperature. All bodies above zero kelvin emit infrared radiation. And the sequin will reflect some of this outgoing infrared back to the surface. The amount of solar radiation reflected would be dependent upon: the amount of aluminium used, and the angle at which it is inclined relative to the incoming solar radiation and the surface of the Earth. If it were simply allowed to orbit randomly, the aluminium sequins, which I presume you would have polished to a high reflectivity in order to get the magnitude of order cooling that you suggest, would tumble in space and not consistently reflect radiation away from the Earth at all. By extension, if the aluminium sequins are simply allowed to tumble, why would the reflectivity not be equal when it was facing the surface of the Earth as when it was facing outward? I do not know why you are hung up on the fact of tumbling. The basic math of this reflectivity is that a huge percent of incoming Sun rays are reflected into space and a small amount of infrared that the Earth itself as a body emits is reflected back to Earth. So if 99% of the rays that are reflected are reflected into outer space, why be hung up on a mere 1% that is re-reflected back down to the Earth surface. And James is illogically hung up on rays that are reflected towards the surface of Earth, for which they would have struck Earth anyway if the aluminum was not there in the first place, so they do not count. What counts is that every reflected ray into outer space by the Aluminum will keep the Earth that much cooler. And there will be alot of these reflected rays and only a meagre rare few rays that become trapped by the aluminum. I am open minded. I am open to many ideas and possibilities. I am also open to the idea of unintended consequences. I feel that the unintended consequences of this plan outweigh any advantage that you may perceive. James I do not call that open minded. I call it "worry wart". There are those that do things to improve the world and there are worry warts that carp and banter negatives and depress those that try to improve the world. Worry warts should not have a forum to spread their depressing views. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#24
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Tim,
Mati and Jumbah are correct. The good thing about tropical storms is (1) they don't always become hurricanes; (2) they are terrific rain makers. In Texas, water is life. In South Texas we were blessed with full reservoirs this summer because of last year's storms which dumped millions of tonnes into the state's drainage system. South Texas and Northern Mexico would be deserts without the steady delivery of rains by tropical storms. But Louisiana and the East Gulf do not need this extra water. David H ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ |
#25
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote in message oups.com... Tim, Mati and Jumbah are correct. The good thing about tropical storms is (1) they don't always become hurricanes; (2) they are terrific rain makers. In Texas, water is life. In South Texas we were blessed with full reservoirs this summer because of last year's storms which dumped millions of tonnes into the state's drainage system. South Texas and Northern Mexico would be deserts without the steady delivery of rains by tropical storms. But Louisiana and the East Gulf do not need this extra water. I believe any place on Earth would be a desert if it doesn't rain there. |
#26
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
In article lN8Te.168784$E95.90875@fed1read01, "Richard Henry" writes:
wrote in message roups.com... Tim, Mati and Jumbah are correct. The good thing about tropical storms is (1) they don't always become hurricanes; (2) they are terrific rain makers. In Texas, water is life. In South Texas we were blessed with full reservoirs this summer because of last year's storms which dumped millions of tonnes into the state's drainage system. South Texas and Northern Mexico would be deserts without the steady delivery of rains by tropical storms. But Louisiana and the East Gulf do not need this extra water. I believe any place on Earth would be a desert if it doesn't rain there. Well, there are some exceptions. River valleys may be kept from being deserts by rains elsewhere. Anyway, other than those exceptions, not every place is getting the majority of its rains delivered in the form of tropical storms. Mati Meron | "When you argue with a fool, | chances are he is doing just the same" |
#27
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote in message ups.com... James Toupin wrote: I am sure that aluminium sequins would indeed have an effect on the atmosphere at the temperature of the Earth's surface. What I don't accept is your argument that it would only reflect incoming solar radiation away from Earth and not also trap heat in like a thermal blanket. It's not that I don't accept it, rather that humanity messing with the environment has not ever turned out well before. We need to keep that in mind before we do anything to interfere with the natural processes. My argument never said all radiation is reflected into outer space, so please do not put words into my mouth. You need a lesson in physics and I need practice in lecturing about physics. Most of the Sun radiation, EM radiation that strikes Earth surface is in the visible wavelength, but I do not have a percentage of that and am guessing about 70% that strikes Earth surface is Visible Light which makes sense in that photosynthesis is based on visible range of light. The Infrared range of Sunlight seldom strikes the surface of Earth and is absorbed by the atmosphere of Earth. So the comment by James that ocean waters are heated up due to infrared radiation and the bulk of the cause of hurricanes is not true. Apparently the main contributor of the heating up of ocean waters is Visible Light. You certainly do need practice, but not in lecturing about physics but understanding it. Appearently you don't recall elementary school science class. Let us review, shall we? From HowStuffWorks.com: http://home.howstuffworks.com/thermos1.htm a.. Radiation - Another side effect of atomic motion is vibration, and vibration leads to the unexpected phenomenon of infrared radiation. According to the Encyclopedia Britannica, "Infrared radiation is absorbed and emitted by the rotations and vibrations of chemically bonded atoms or groups of atoms and thus by many kinds of materials." Infrared radiation is a form of light. Our eyes are unable to see infrared, but our skin can feel it. About half of all of the sun's energy that reaches us comes as invisible infrared radiation, with the rest of it visible to us as light. Infrared, like visible light, is reflected by mirrors and absorbed better by black objects. When infrared is absorbed, it results in atomic motion, and therefore, in a rise in temperature. Some common examples of infrared are the heat you feel radiating from an electric heater or a red-hot piece of metal, the heat you feel radiating from the bricks in a fireplace even if the fire has gone out and the heat you feel radiating from a concrete wall after the sun has gone down. Also, Infrared region of EM spectrum reflects easily by mirrors and by aluminum sequin. The infrared telescopes in use are positioned on high level mountains that are dry mountains. It is given that aluminium reflects the Visible range of Sunlight. So by putting aluminium or aluminum sequin into orbit will easily reflect alot of Visible and Infrared radiation coming from the Sun. Now there is a small contribution of infrared radiation due to Earth itself of its radioactivity and the fact it is a body above zero kelvin temperature. All bodies above zero kelvin emit infrared radiation. And the sequin will reflect some of this outgoing infrared back to the surface. The amount of solar radiation reflected would be dependent upon: the amount of aluminium used, and the angle at which it is inclined relative to the incoming solar radiation and the surface of the Earth. If it were simply allowed to orbit randomly, the aluminium sequins, which I presume you would have polished to a high reflectivity in order to get the magnitude of order cooling that you suggest, would tumble in space and not consistently reflect radiation away from the Earth at all. By extension, if the aluminium sequins are simply allowed to tumble, why would the reflectivity not be equal when it was facing the surface of the Earth as when it was facing outward? I do not know why you are hung up on the fact of tumbling. The basic math of this reflectivity is that a huge percent of incoming Sun rays are reflected into space and a small amount of infrared that the Earth itself as a body emits is reflected back to Earth. So if 99% of the rays that are reflected are reflected into outer space, why be hung up on a mere 1% that is re-reflected back down to the Earth surface. And James is illogically hung up on rays that are reflected towards the surface of Earth, for which they would have struck Earth anyway if the aluminum was not there in the first place, so they do not count. What counts is that every reflected ray into outer space by the Aluminum will keep the Earth that much cooler. And there will be alot of these reflected rays and only a meagre rare few rays that become trapped by the aluminum. I am open minded. I am open to many ideas and possibilities. I am also open to the idea of unintended consequences. I feel that the unintended consequences of this plan outweigh any advantage that you may perceive. James I do not call that open minded. I call it "worry wart". There are those that do things to improve the world and there are worry warts that carp and banter negatives and depress those that try to improve the world. Worry warts should not have a forum to spread their depressing views. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#29
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote: wrote: And unless we do conquer hurricanes by building a Earth Air Conditioner of Aluminum Sequin placed into orbit to reflect Sun rays, Apologies if anyone else has mentioned it further down in the thread, but wouldn't Aluminum sequin be swept away in no time by solar winds? I am not sure of this myself, for I have nothing that I can point to in the debris literature to prove it will not blow away. The debris literature talks mostly about large pieces of rubble and not about tiny things like aluminum sequin. This is important also for whether the sequin spreads out or bunches up together. Perhaps the meteoric dust that cools Earth recently reported by NATURE magazine can simulate the behaviour of aluminium sequin and thus provide a assuring answer that the winds would not blow it away or that it is not bunched up. But then again also is where to place the sequin in orbit and the distance can prevent the solar wind factor and prevent the bunching up factor. So it is not as if the constraints are prohibitive everywhere in orbit but rather we find the optimal orbit for which aluminium works the best. There is perhaps one particle already in orbit that can be the model for aluminum sequin and that is the microorganisms in the upper atmosphere. Of course the aluminium sequin is going to be a larger surface area than is the microorganisms. And those microbes are not affected by solar winds. Perhaps the final answer is some microbe that loves living up there and reproduces itself, however, I wrote extensively in past years that a microbe as Earth Air Conditioner could be dangerous as a microbe could choke off Earth if it multiplies too much in the atmosphere and we find ourselves in the situation of going up there to "clean out the place by some microbe killer". But if a microbe can flourish there, I am rather afraid or resigned to the fact that it will establish itself without the help or intervention of humans and we will face this prospect some future date no matter whether we seed the upper atmosphere with microbes or not. Even if not, all the space it occupied (and most likely all space in the vicinity of the Earth) would be unusable to satellites and spacecraft, and the whole sky would be a featureless haze to radio astronomers! My rough, very rough calculations is that 3 cargo hauled space launches with the cargo full of Aluminium Sequin to the Space Station would provide a full one year Earth Air-Conditioner that would last for 2 years and prevent all hurricanes from forming over the Gulf waters. And would cool Earth on average 1 degree Celcius per year because the reflectivity of Aluminium Sequin is 10^9 greater than the reflection and absorption of either volcanic ash or meteoric dust. A much more effective idea, suggested by Arthur C Clarke I think, would be a diverging Fresnel lens a couple of thousand miles in diameter and floating between Earth and Sun at one of the Lagrange points, L1. See: Actually, Clarke's is more of a pipe dream than an effective and pragmatic idea. The energy to build it, to haul it, to keep it in place is such a huge energy that it would cost more in energy than Aluminium Sequin for the next thousands of years. Some scientists have even worked the calculations showing that these Lagrange points are very unstable and very energy consuming to keep whatever is built there. The Lagrange points, in my opinion, have become science myths and scientists should debunk them more, so that people like John should never get caught up in these myths. For I remember some poster many years back said that a structure built on a Lagrange point would disintegrate in about a few months upon completion. http://www.physics.montana.edu/facul.../lagrange.html Before anyone points out the technical hurdles to overcome in grinding a glass slab of that size, let me add that a Fresnel lens is flat and deviates light (or IR and UV?) by means of a fine grating, usually circular. It can be wafer thin and made from plastic, presumably by a small army of miniature bots working round the edge each like a spider spinning its web. Cheers John R Ramsden I am convinced that in such a major project as Earth-Air-Conditioner that the first one is closer to home-- the planet itself. And the first one maybe crude compared to the future ones. But it is a progressive stepwise technology for Earth-Air-Conditioner. The important thing is to get the first one in place and then future improvements will accrue thereof. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#30
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote in message oups.com... Tim, Mati and Jumbah are correct. The good thing about tropical storms is (1) they don't always become hurricanes; (2) they are terrific rain makers. I was under the impression they were discussing Katrina - I may be missing a post or two. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Have we had two months like this before in mid-winter? | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
have you seen an amazing miracle like this before...!!? | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Too many seals? [Was: How many major U.S. cities have now flooded?] | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Katrina Katrina Katrina Katrina | alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) | |||
Wetlands destruction highly relevant to Katrina damage (was Hurricane Katrina Comments and Questions) | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) |