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What kind of relationship is there between the melting and sliding of the ice caps, and the sea level ?
"Aidan Karley" .group escribió en el mensaje s.group... In article , Leto2 wrote: I've got a question about ice caps. Does this fall into geology ? Close enough to get a perspective, but there are more relevant groups. The question is about the dynamics of the rise of sea level. On a geological time scale, the rate of change of sea levels can be at least as fast as the "writing" of signals into our record. Most areas "see" the rise (or fall) of sea level as a change between one bed and it's successor. Sometimes you have material deposited fast enough to record the intermediate stages of a change in sea level, but most sites will just see the low or high state. My understanding is that when floating ice melts, this does not provide more water, Correct. What raises sea level is when continental ice slides down into the ocean, either in liquid or solid state. Strictly, it's when ice that is not free-floating melts. Consider an iceberg floating in the sea - it's your first case above, no change in net sea level. Now consider the case of a grounded iceberg, part of whose weight is supported by the seabed. That means that the volume of water displaced by the iceberg is going to be less than the volume which the iceberg would displace when it's free-floating. When a grounded iceberg is melted, it will increase the liquid volume of the system in proportion to the support force of the seabed on the iceberg. From this case it is a smooth logical step to considering the case of a glacier tongue sliding down into the sea - where the glacier is supported by the seabed, then there will be a net increase in liquid volume on melting. And obviously it includes the case of a glacier 2 km up in the mountains. So the dynamics could be much slower than just the melting speed, or on the contrary, there could be an avalanche effect, Well, there would be a delay before the water hit the ocean. Depending on distance to travel, amount of wetland to traverse, etc, it could be a few hours, it could be a couple of weeks. I don't really see circumstances where it could be more than a couple of years though, excepting as a glacier. I was thinking about big lakes being created by the melting ice, and then released, as happened in Canada, I think. On a continent like Antarctic, maybe this could happen. I read also that this was one of the dangers of warming in the Andes : the glaciers melt and get filled of water until they break down into an avalanche. This happened above Huaraz, Peru, maybe 30 years ago. The town disappeared. The "avalanche effect" is not as well-known as it should be. In glaciology it's frequently referred to as a "surge", rather than as an avalanche, because the ice-flow speeds may increase a hundred-fold, but still not make it to walking pace. But it's a well-known phenomenon, if not a well-understood one. Involves alls sorts of mucky problems like the friction of dirty ice against irregular surfaces of dirty rock. Of course I suspect that at continent-scale, the slope cannot allow an avalanche to happen. I used the term to mean a threshold effect, between a phase where the movement can be stopped when temperature cools down (it is a reversible phase : more temperature = more speed, and reversely, cooler means slower), and a phase where nothing can be stopped anymore : the slide cannot be prevented even if temperature cools down, because the dynamics involved are quicker than the thermal propagation. In an "accelerated motion movie" this means : you cannot "freeze" the avalanche back. (I'm not questionning the possible cause for the melting. please no global warming threads) Not a hope in hell. -- Aidan Karley, Aberdeen, Scotland, Location: 57°10'11" N, 02°08'43" W (sub-tropical Aberdeen), 0.021233 |
What kind of relationship is there between the melting and sliding of the ice caps, and the sea level ?
In article , Leto2 wrote:
I was thinking about big lakes being created by the melting ice, and then released, as happened in Canada, I think. Certainly did, but whether it delayed the impact of the melt water on the ocean by more than a few decades ... maybe for the American mid-continental lake(s) (Lake Aggasiz?) but not so much generally. I read also that this was one of the dangers of warming in the Andes : the glaciers melt and get filled of water until they break down into an avalanche. This happened above Huaraz, Peru, maybe 30 years ago. The town disappeared. That one was in response to a volcanic eruption under the ice cap on top of IIRC Huarascan mountain. The timescale between eruption starting and jokullhlaup was only a few days. "Jokullhlaup" is an Icelandic term for the flood that comes from an eruption under an icecap ("jokull"). There was an event about 6 or 7 years ago when the Grimsvotn volcano erupted under (damn - forgot the name of the jokull ; Google'll get it) and the flood came out about a week later. Of course I suspect that at continent-scale, the slope cannot allow an avalanche to happen. This is a much more open question than you seem to think. There certainly has been vigourous debate about the details in the past, and TTBOMK there hasn't been a resolution. What is at issue is the stability (or lack of stability) of the West Antarctic ice sheet. If it is possible for it to "go" rapidly, then there's a potential 6 or 8 metres of global sea-level rise almost overnight. It doesn't take much to see that it's worthwhile trying to work out if this is going to/ could happen. It would seriously affect flooding insurance premiums around the world. -- Aidan Karley, Aberdeen, Scotland, Location: 57°10'11" N, 02°08'43" W (sub-tropical Aberdeen), 0.021233 |
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