CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

CO2 RISE: A 6 Degree of Freedom CURVE FIT
Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg

Clearly, the atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising
exponentially. To see this compare the trend of the
red colored points on the graph I have provided with
a straight line.

The period term in the sine function was given freedom to
check the accuracy of both the measurement and numeric
computation. The optimizer computed 0.999462 for this
value that is obviously the 1-year CO2 cycle. (See Al
Gore's movie or book for a good explanation of the 1-year
CO2 cycle.) The coefficients determined by the curve fit
are very probably as accurate, about three decimal places.
This is better than the statistical error.

(And, I didn't confuse radians for degrees like the
infamous Canadian fossil fool! Please see:
http://timlambert.org/2004/08/mckitrick6/)

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
These data may be found at:
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/co2_mm_mlo.dat

The yearly means of the 581 points of monthly data follow:
YEAR CO2_ppmv"
1958 315.33 8 months of data"
1959 315.98"
1960 316.91"
1961 317.65"
1962 318.46"
1963 318.99"
1964 319.20 9 months of data"
1965 320.03"
1966 321.37"
1967 322.18"
1968 323.05"
1969 324.62"
1970 325.68"
1971 326.32"
1972 327.46"
1973 329.68"
1974 330.17"
1975 331.14 11 months of data"
1976 332.06"
1977 333.78"
1978 335.40"
1979 336.78"
1980 338.70"
1981 340.11"
1982 340.98 11 months of data"
1983 342.84"
1984 344.20 11 months of data"
1985 345.87"
1986 347.19"
1987 348.98"
1988 351.45"
1989 352.89"
1990 354.16"
1991 355.48"
1992 356.27"
1993 356.96"
1994 358.63"
1995 360.63"
1996 362.37"
1997 363.47"
1998 366.50"
1999 368.14"
2000 369.41"
2001 371.07"
2002 373.16"
2003 375.80"
2004 377.55"
2005 379.75"
2006 381.85"
2007 383.76 3 months of data"

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

Roger Coppock wrote:
CO2 RISE: A 6 Degree of Freedom CURVE FIT
Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg

Clearly, the atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising
exponentially.

No ****, Sherlock.

~0.4%/year is exponential.

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Apr 5, 10:37 pm, Al Bedo wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
CO2 RISE: A 6 Degree of Freedom CURVE FIT
Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg

Clearly, the atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising
exponentially.

No ****, Sherlock.

~0.4%/year is exponential

No, ~0.4%/year is linear.
53.7 * EXP (0.017*(YEAR-1958)) is exponential.


Funny thing about exponentials,
look away and they run away.

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Apr 6, 5:05 am, "Roger Coppock" wrote:

Funny thing about exponentials,
look away and they run away.

Trees don't grow to the sky moron.

Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

If that wasn't the case, the earth would have turned to Venus ages
ago, when CO2 concentration was even higher.

RL

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Apr 6, 5:54 am, "raylopez99" wrote:
On Apr 6, 5:05 am, "Roger Coppock" wrote:

Funny thing about exponentials,
look away and they run away.

Trees don't grow to the sky moron.

Did I say that they did!?!?


Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

The data speak loudest
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg
and they shout exponential, without a whisper
of S-shaped, or logarithmic.


If that wasn't the case, the earth would have turned to Venus ages
ago, when CO2 concentration was even higher.


Ice core data show that this rise started about
two centuries ago. That is too short a time to
reach Venus like conditions.

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Fri, 06 Apr 2007 05:05:06 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote:

On Apr 5, 10:37 pm, Al Bedo wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
CO2 RISE: A 6 Degree of Freedom CURVE FIT Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg

Clearly, the atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising exponentially.

No ****, Sherlock.

~0.4%/year is exponential

No, ~0.4%/year is linear.

I think you need to explain your math there, Roger.













Funny thing about exponentials,
look away and they run away.

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Fri, 06 Apr 2007 06:07:51 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote:

On Apr 6, 5:54 am, "raylopez99" wrote:
On Apr 6, 5:05 am, "Roger Coppock" wrote:

Funny thing about exponentials,
look away and they run away.

Trees don't grow to the sky moron.

Did I say that they did!?!?


Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

The data speak loudest
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/CO2-6DegreesFreedom.jpg and they shout
exponential, without a whisper of S-shaped, or logarithmic.

Yet.

snip

Ice core data show that this rise started about two centuries ago. That
is too short a time to reach Venus like conditions.

The exponential rise started 200 years ago? From anthropogenic CO2?

Are you sure it wasn't thiotimoline?

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

Rainfall distributions are exponential.

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

On Apr 9, 1:54 am, " wrote:
Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

Rainfall distributions are exponential.

I doubt it. They are Gaussian with fat tails, perhaps exponentially
fat tails, but still Gaussian.

RL

CO2 RISE: A 6 DF CURVE FIT
 

"raylopez99" wrote
Nothing in nature is exponential--it's S-shaped, or logarithmic (the
inverse of exponential), since feedback is involved.

I see, so the fact that we will have to limit out production of CO2 and
produce this S shape is proof that we need not limit our production of Co2.

Lopez Logic at work.