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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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Here, from Hadley Centre, are the global sea surface
temperatures from 1850 to 2006. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/HadSST2gl.jpg As predicted by Arrhenius over a century ago, the rate of sea warming is slower than global land warming. NASA GISS has global land surface warming at .58K/per century between 1880 and 2006. (Please see: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt) These data come from: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/ There are no urban centers in the sea, but watch the fossil fools blame this on UHI anyway. |
#2
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Roger Coppock wrote:
Here, from Hadley Centre, are the global sea surface temperatures from 1850 to 2006. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/HadSST2gl.jpg http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt) Of course the SSTs warmed at the fastest rate from 1910 through 1945 with very little help from GHGs. The most recent thirty five years warmed at a lesser rate, even with lots of reputed GHG forcing. |
#3
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On Aug 20, 4:33 pm, Al Bedo wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote: Here, from Hadley Centre, are the global sea surface temperatures from 1850 to 2006. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/HadSST2gl.jpg These data come from: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/ Of course the SSTs warmed at the fastest rate from 1910 through 1945 An acceleration of: 5.6 +- .4 K/century^2 with yearly slopes computed on a 30-year rolling average. with very little help from GHGs. The most recent thirty five The presented data say the most recent 55 years that 1952 to 2006 when analyzed with a 30-year rolling average. This period has an acceleration of 4.3 +- .1 K/century^2 years warmed at a lesser rate, even with lots of reputed GHG forcing. What a stupid stupid strawman! No responsable person claims that greenhouse gases are the only climate forcing. There are many other things that cause climate change. Below, please find a graph of several of them. Note that the green line, representing man-made greenhouse gas emissions easily dominates all other potential causes of the observed warming today and that they are growing the fastest. Please see: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:C...ttribution.png http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/figspm-3.htm http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pubs/crowley.html ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/pal...al-4_12_01.txt |
#4
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![]() "Al Bedo" wrote Of course the SSTs warmed at the fastest rate from 1910 through 1945 with very little help from GHGs. Really? You put a lot of credibility in three observations that push the slope higher. What is the natural level of variability by the way? You comments have no weight if the variance is within the natural level of variability. "Al Bedo" wrote The most recent thirty five years warmed at a lesser rate, even with lots of reputed GHG forcing. Sorry, you can't say that either. Again since you don't know know what the natural level of variability is. We know for example that for the entire globe as a whole, the natural level is about .5'C. Anything change below that over a period of a couiple of decades can simply have a natural cause. Outside that range and you are dealing with something new and measured. Current temps are no .74'C above the average, or .24'C above the natural level of variability. I really get a laugh when denialists look at a trend of 2 or three years and see a .05'C fall and proclaim as finished, the ongoing rise in temps, when in fact over that short a period such s trivially small change in temp can not be ascribed any significance at all. But such is the Ignorance, Dishonesty, and Scientific Illiteracy in the Denialist Camp. |
#5
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On Aug 20, 7:33 pm, Al Bedo wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote: Here, from Hadley Centre, are the global sea surface temperatures from 1850 to 2006. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/HadSST2gl.jpg http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt) Of course the SSTs warmed at the fastest rate from 1910 through 1945 with very little help from GHGs. The most recent thirty five years warmed at a lesser rate, even with lots of reputed GHG forcing. Al - maybe this is a dumb question, but why was there necessarily "very little help from GHGs" between 1910 and 1945? The global depression of the 1930s would very likely have reduced emissions of GHG's by shutting down heavy industry across the capitalist west during this period - granted. But the period 1910 - 1930 was generally an era of rapid industrial growth, I believe, and virtually all of that growth was powered by fossil fuels -- more coal in the early years, but with an increasing shift to oil in the later years. The world's commercial shipping fleets and its naval fleets both were powered by fossil fuels in this era -- again, with more dependence on coal in the early years and a gradual or not so gradual shift to petroleum over time. The world automobile industry, and especially the US auto industry, also saw enormous growth in this period, admittedly from fairly small beginnings: Henry Ford's invention of the Model A and Model T and his establishment of the first automobile assembly lines, beginning a little before 1910, made a huge difference in how common gasoline- powered automobiles became in the US over the next two decades. So why wasn't there a significant "anthropogenic greenhouse effect" even before the end of World War II? I recognize that western industrial capitalism, plus Soviet-led industrialization in Eastern Europe, plus Third World industrialism all soared dramatically after 1945, and that the global auto industry and the airline industry saw especially spectacular growth. So global CO2 emissions after 1945 were undoubtedly far greater than before. But on the other hand, all of the major industrial powers by 1910 had been undergoing coal-powered industrial growth for decades, at leat, and in the case of Great Britain, coal-based industrial growth had been underway for around two centuries. I would expect that in the AGW science is valid - which I think it is -- the legacy of all that coal burning would have some cumulative effect on the climate by the 1920s. Of course coal-based industrialization also contributed large volumes of carbon particulates, sulfur-dioxide aerosols and other pollutants to the air over Europe, Britain, Japan and parts of the US, which may have had mixed effects on the climate. Has anybody in either the AGW Camp or the AGW-Denialist camp studied this issue, I wonder? I mean, it isn't as if by 1910, the western industrial countries were existing in some pristine state akin to the mythical Garden of Eden. Some of them -- eg. the UK - were already quite polluted. |
#6
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On Aug 20, 1:55 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
There are no urban centers in the sea, but watch the fossil fools blame this on UHI anyway. Uhh, it's called the SUN, Poppycock. |
#7
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On Aug 20, 7:37 pm, Professor1942 wrote:
On Aug 20, 1:55 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: There are no urban centers in the sea, but watch the fossil fools blame this on UHI anyway. Uhh, it's called the SUN, Poppycock. The sun just started 100 years ago! Wow! Even the fundamentalists give it 6600 years! |
#8
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![]() "Professor1942" wrote Uhh, it's called the SUN, Poppycock. You mean the Sun, who's output has been monitored for decades and found repeatedly to not have changed enough to cause the observed warming. Oh ya, that sun.... Ahahahahahaha... You ****ing Ignorant Loser. |
#9
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![]() As predicted by Arrhenius over a century ago, the rate of sea warming is slower than global land warming. That's a stupid statement. How much heat can the Oceans absorb? Apples and oranges. http://groups.google.com/group/alt.conspiracy/topics |
#10
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Roger Coppock wrote:
Here, from Hadley Centre, are the global sea surface temperatures from 1850 to 2006. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/HadSST2gl.jpg As predicted by Arrhenius over a century ago, the rate of sea warming is slower than global land warming. NASA GISS has global land surface warming at .58K/per century between 1880 and 2006. (Please see: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt) These data come from: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/ Why is 1970-ish the baseline for the temperature anomaly? What was the sensitivity/accuracy of the thermometers used? Why should I care that sea surface temperatures have risen over the past 150 years? |
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