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Old March 19th 09, 06:40 AM posted to sci.environment,sci.physics,alt.culture.alaska,sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Day t??*10^3 - The Sun Hibernates - Fed to Buy $1 Trillion in Securities to Aid Economy

"March 19, 2009"
http://www.spaceweather.com/
"Daily Sun: 19 Mar 09 The Sun is blank--no Sunspots. Sunspot number: 0"
"Far side of the Sun: This holographic image reveals no sunspots on the far
side of the sun."
"Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 0 quiet"

The face of the Sun is without blemish:
http://www.spaceweather.com/images20...5da133ge 50u2

Please visit:
http://blog.nj.com/southjersey_impac...SolarCycle.jpg

The right panel shows the face of the Sun as it looked on a good day during
the late Modern Warm Period. Sunspots are the apparent size of craters on
the moon. The left panel shows a Sun as it appears today. Please write to Al
Gore so that Al knows that the Sun is not living up to his religious
expectations. Al Gore is a divinity school dropout. George Carlin had a
better grasp of the true nature of God's creation, than does Al Gore.

Please visit:
http://www.co-intelligence.org/newsl...es/sun-etc.jpg
which shows the relative sizes of the Sun and planets. Compared to the Sun,
Jupiter is the size of a pea, earth is the size of a grain of sand.

March 19, 2009
Fed to Buy $1 Trillion in Securities to Aid Economy
By EDMUND L. ANDREWS

WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve sharply stepped up its efforts to bolster
the economy on Wednesday, announcing that it would pump an extra $1 trillion
into the financial system by purchasing Treasury bonds and mortgage
securities.

Having already reduced the key interest rate it controls nearly to zero, the
central bank has increasingly turned to alternatives like buying securities
as a way of getting more dollars into the economy, a tactic that amounts to
creating vast new sums of money out of thin air. But the moves on Wednesday
were its biggest yet, almost doubling all of the Fed's measures in the last
year.

The action makes the Fed a buyer of long-term government bonds rather than
the short-term debt that it typically buys and sells to help control the
money supply.

The idea was to encourage more economic activity by lowering interest rates,
including those on home loans, and to help the financial system as it
struggles under the crushing weight of bad loans and poor investments.

Investors responded with surprise and enthusiasm. The Dow Jones industrial
average, which had been down about 50 points just before the announcement,
jumped immediately and ended the day up almost 91 points at 7,486.58. Yields
on long-term Treasury bonds dropped markedly, and analysts predicted that
interest rates on fixed-rate mortgages would soon drop below 5 percent.

But there were also clear indications that the Fed was taking risks that
could dilute the value of the dollar and set the stage for future inflation.
Gold prices rose $26.60 an ounce, hitting $942, a sign of declining
confidence in the dollar. The dollar, which had been losing value in recent
weeks to the euro and the yen, dropped sharply again on Wednesday.

In its announcement, the central bank said that the United States remained
in a severe recession and listed its continuing woes, from job losses and
lost housing wealth to falling exports as a result of the worldwide economic
slowdown.

"In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will employ all available tools
to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability," the central
bank said.

As expected, policy makers decided to keep the Fed's benchmark interest rate
on overnight loans in a range between zero and 0.25 percent.

But to the surprise of investors and analysts, the committee said it had
decided to purchase an additional $750 billion worth of
government-guaranteed mortgage-backed securities on top of the $500 billion
that the Fed is already in the process of buying.

In addition, the Fed said it would buy up to $300 billion worth of
longer-term Treasury securities over the next six months. That would tend to
push down longer-term interest rates on all types of loans.

All these measures would come in addition to what has already been an
unprecedented expansion of lending by the Fed. The central bank also said it
would probably expand the scope of a new program to finance consumer and
business lending, which gets under way this week.

In effect, the central bank has been lending money to a wider and wider
array of borrowers, and it has financed that lending by using its authority
to create new money at will.

Since last September, the Fed's lending programs have roughly doubled the
size of its balance sheet, to about $1.8 trillion, from $900 billion. The
actions announced on Wednesday are likely to expand that to well over $3
trillion over the next year.

Despite a trickle of encouraging data in the last few weeks, Fed officials
were clearly still worried and in no mood to cut back on their emergency
efforts.

Fed policy makers sharply reduced their economic forecasts in January,
predicting that the economy would continue to experience steep contractions
for the first half of 2009, that unemployment could approach 9 percent by
the end of the year and that there was at least a small risk of a drop in
consumer prices like those that Japan experienced for nearly a decade.

The Fed rarely buys long-term government bonds. The last occasion was nearly
50 years ago under different economic circumstances when it tried to reduce
long-term interest rates while allowing short term rates to rise.

Ben S. Bernanke, the Fed chairman, has been extremely cautious in recent
weeks about predicting an end to the recession, saying that he hoped to see
the start of a recovery later this year but warning that unemployment, a
lagging indicator, would probably keep climbing until some time in 2010.

In contrast to several recent Fed decisions, with the presidents of some
regional Fed banks dissenting, the decision at Wednesday's meeting of the 10
members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank's policy
making group, was unanimous.

Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs, said the Fed had adopted a
"kitchen sink" strategy of throwing everything it had to jolt the economy
out of its downward spiral.

But while Mr. Hatzius applauded the decision, he cautioned that the central
bank could not solve the economy's problems by expanding cheap money.

"Even if the Fed could make interest rates negative, that wouldn't
necessarily help," Mr. Hatzius said. "We're in a deep recession mainly
because the private sector, for a variety of reasons, has decided to save a
lot more. You can have a zero interest rate, but if you just offer more
money on top of the money that is already available, it doesn't do that
much."

Fed officials have been wrestling for months with the fact that lenders
remain unwilling to lend and borrowers are unwilling or unable to borrow.
Even though the Fed has been creating money at the fastest rate in its
history, much of that money has remained dormant.

The Fed's action is an expansion of its effort to bypass the private banking
system and act as a lender in its own right.

The Fed and the Treasury are starting a joint venture this week called the
Consumer and Business Lending Initiative in their latest effort to thaw the
still-frozen credit markets. The program will start out with $200 billion in
financing for consumer loans, small-business loans and some corporate
purposes.

Fed officials have said they hope to expand the program next month, possibly
to include the huge market for commercial mortgages, and both the Fed and
Treasury hope the program will eventually provide up to $1 trillion in total
financing.


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