I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this year?
Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as another mild
December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind that stir him
from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

"Victor West" wrote in message
...
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year? Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as another
mild December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind that
stir him from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

I'd wager Paul would love to issue a winter forecast, he's just sick and
tired of repeating himself over and over again.

Born to be mild

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year? Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as
another mild December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind
that stir him from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

I'd wager Paul would love to issue a winter forecast, he's just sick and
tired of repeating himself over and over again.

Born to be mild


Yes I know that, Lawrence. Hence my question. Some time ago Paul mentioned
that he wouldn't issue another one unless he felt that there was the
possibility of a non mild winter.

Victor

In message , Victor West
writes
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this year?
Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as another mild
December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind that stir him
from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor
Victor.
You are a little unkind to me. Last year I did not issue as I regarded
the possibility of anything normal or below as being so unlikely as not
to warrant the workload. I still regard any winter temperature below
normal as unlikely. And even a 'normal' winter I doubt - so rather
mild. Mild or Very mild.
But of course I have put no work in yet so the above is just as
meaningless as people having 'hunches'.
In view of the Berlin.ac forecast and the Office outlook. It may be
worthwhile ploughing through the data again.
When did we last have a cold winter month? 1990 - I don't know. I feel
the winter forecast apart from the odd cold snap is therefore a bit
pointless.
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather

"Victor West" wrote in message
...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year? Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as
another mild December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the
wind that stir him from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

I'd wager Paul would love to issue a winter forecast, he's just sick and
tired of repeating himself over and over again.

Born to be mild


Yes I know that, Lawrence. Hence my question. Some time ago Paul mentioned
that he wouldn't issue another one unless he felt that there was the
possibility of a non mild winter.

Victor

There's your answer.

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year? Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as
another mild December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the
wind that stir him from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

I'd wager Paul would love to issue a winter forecast, he's just sick and
tired of repeating himself over and over again.

Born to be mild


Yes I know that, Lawrence. Hence my question. Some time ago Paul
mentioned that he wouldn't issue another one unless he felt that there
was the possibility of a non mild winter.

Victor

There's your answer.


Oh you are a tease, Lawrence! :-)
I think I'll wait to hear (or not hear as the case may be) from the man
himself! ;-)

Victor

Put November 30th in your diary...This is from Mr Bartlett's Rutnet
page...

"However this year the Met Office and the university of Berlin have
also issued forecasts for a cold winter. Franklly I don't believe
them, although I do at least understand their reasons.

The Met Office normally avoid long range forecasting because it is such
a difficult task, and they have the all the top equipment and
scientists in UK - as an ex-professional with the Office then my
reaction is that if they can't do it no one can. Please note this
when I issue forecasts for four months ahead from Berlin University,
they put in a huge amount of work and have good methods and top
computerisation. So I leave it to you all to assess whether they work
for Rutland. (These forecasts may no longer be available - but if
they are I will update asap).
However I sincerely believe that my methods are better, and these will
be published on Nov 30 2005 complete with the winter forecast, all
being well."

"Victor West" wrote in message
...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Victor West" wrote in message
...
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year? Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as
another mild December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the
wind that stir him from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor

I'd wager Paul would love to issue a winter forecast, he's just sick
and tired of repeating himself over and over again.

Born to be mild


Yes I know that, Lawrence. Hence my question. Some time ago Paul
mentioned that he wouldn't issue another one unless he felt that there
was the possibility of a non mild winter.

Victor

There's your answer.


Oh you are a tease, Lawrence! :-)
I think I'll wait to hear (or not hear as the case may be) from the man
himself! ;-)

Victor
Unless he's got indigestion, he won't repeat himself Victor, not even to
steady yer nerves.

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...
In message , Victor West
writes
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year?
Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as another mild
December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind that stir
him
from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor
Victor.
You are a little unkind to me. Last year I did not issue as I regarded
the possibility of anything normal or below as being so unlikely as not to
warrant the workload. I still regard any winter temperature below normal
as unlikely. And even a 'normal' winter I doubt - so rather mild. Mild or
Very mild.
But of course I have put no work in yet so the above is just as
meaningless as people having 'hunches'.
In view of the Berlin.ac forecast and the Office outlook. It may be
worthwhile ploughing through the data again.
When did we last have a cold winter month? 1990 - I don't know. I feel
the winter forecast apart from the odd cold snap is therefore a bit
pointless.

Unkind? Surely not. If so totally unintended! Profuse apologies!

1990? Don't forget 1995/96!

Victor

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...
In message , Victor West
writes
I wonder if Paul will consider it worth issuing a winter forecast this
year?
Will mid November come and go without his "must read" post as another mild
December-February beckons, or will there be signs in the wind that stir
him
from his seasonal forecast slumbers.

Victor
Victor.
You are a little unkind to me. Last year I did not issue as I regarded
the possibility of anything normal or below as being so unlikely as not to
warrant the workload. I still regard any winter temperature below normal
as unlikely. And even a 'normal' winter I doubt - so rather mild. Mild or
Very mild.
But of course I have put no work in yet so the above is just as
meaningless as people having 'hunches'.
In view of the Berlin.ac forecast and the Office outlook. It may be
worthwhile ploughing through the data again.
When did we last have a cold winter month? 1990 - I don't know. I feel
the winter forecast apart from the odd cold snap is therefore a bit
pointless.
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather


There you are Victor- satisfied?

Paul you've broken many hearts tonight.

Have a word with this chap, will you?

http://www.london.gov.uk/