[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

On Tue, 04 Jan 2005 10:12:42 +0000, Alan White wrote:

Where was the forecast big blow? We had more wind on Christmas Eve
than we had last night.

Not here, woke me up at around 0500 with a good F8 (ocn F9) gusting
into the low/mid 50's mph.

First decent blow for a while but didn't last long only about an hour.

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail

[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

"Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message
...
Hi Joe
Glad to see you back safe and well.
There's a danger that in over hyping forecasts a "Peter cries wolf "
situation arises , whereby - a couple of severe forecasts with attendant
warnings turn out to be relatively benign and the general population become
sceptical. But then when a really dangerous situation unfolds people
consequently take less notice of warnings.

The CF came through here not with a bang but with a whimper, though
a sharp clearence is always a joy to see :)
Somebody at work was expecting 'severe gales', gusts to 70 mph.
But it never happened, even as the front approached. 'Rather windy' was
the most we ever got.

Thankfully, on the whole, the pro's get it right nowadays, certainly as far
as dangerous winds are concerned. But the BBC forecasts for this morning
(and no doubt other authorities) - were on the whole, very wide of the mark.
Whereas the TAF's issued, correctly disagreed with / contradicted the
warnings issued. (certainly they did for this part of the country). Afterall
the TAF's forecast 50mph gusts, and the beeb were going for damaging 70-80
mph gusts, that is a hell of a difference.

So basically the forecasters got it right but the BBC hyped it up?
I doubt the public will appreciate the difference!

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html

[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

"Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message

I wonder if tomorrow afternoon will see a similar over-hyped scenario?

Possibly not. No wind speeds mentioned on national forecast but the
phrase 'gales or even severe gales' was used.

The NW Tonight local forecast was perhaps more realistic with winds
'gusting to 40-45mph' which is really no more than rather windy.

Much as it was today :)

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html

[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

On Tue, 4 Jan 2005 12:20:18 -0000, "Alex Stephens Jr"
wrote:

I wonder if tomorrow afternoon will see a similar over-hyped scenario?

Well, I hate high winds and every time they're forecast I get quite
knotted up. I'd rather they materialised when forecast than not
materialised. In fact, I wouldn't mind them materalising when they're
not forecast, if you follow me.

Back to the pills.

--
Alan White
Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow.
Overlooking Loch Goil and Loch Long in Argyll, Scotland.
Web cam at http://www.ufcnet.net/~alanlesley1/kabcam.htm

[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

I think tomorrow morning will probably see stronger winds than we had today
Alan, but not by very much.
Later in the week, looking as though it will be stronger still at times.
Sorry to disappoint you.
But I'm more likely to be wrong about these things than the BBC.
Alex.

"Alan White" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 4 Jan 2005 12:20:18 -0000, "Alex Stephens Jr"
wrote:

I wonder if tomorrow afternoon will see a similar over-hyped scenario?

Well, I hate high winds and every time they're forecast I get quite
knotted up. I'd rather they materialised when forecast than not
materialised. In fact, I wouldn't mind them materalising when they're
not forecast, if you follow me.

Back to the pills.

--
Alan White
Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow.
Overlooking Loch Goil and Loch Long in Argyll, Scotland.
Web cam at http://www.ufcnet.net/~alanlesley1/kabcam.htm

[WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005
 

On Tue, 4 Jan 2005 20:07:37 -0000, "Alex Stephens Jr"
wrote:

But I'm more likely to be wrong about these things than the BBC.

I very much doubt it ;-

The 22:30 BBC1 forecast was suggesting gusts between 60 and 70mph. In
reality that usually translates to 35 to 40mph. I can cope with that.

--
Alan White
Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow.
Overlooking Loch Goil and Loch Long in Argyll, Scotland.
Web cam at http://www.ufcnet.net/~alanlesley1/kabcam.htm