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Unlikely scenario
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3841.png
It appears to me that this scenario is very unlikely (this year). The emphasis seems to be the jet running NE between Scotland and Iceland right up the Norweigen Sea, preventing blocking in these regions, hence the Russian Highs and the like are pushed either over us or back into the continent. I don't see any reason for this to change is February. -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net |
Unlikely scenario
Reminds me of the jokes along the lines -
Man goes to the Doctor and says "Every time I look at these GFS maps there seems to be a cold spell in two weeks time, what should I do?" The doctor says "Stop looking!" Dave "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3841.png It appears to me that this scenario is very unlikely (this year). The emphasis seems to be the jet running NE between Scotland and Iceland right up the Norweigen Sea, preventing blocking in these regions, hence the Russian Highs and the like are pushed either over us or back into the continent. I don't see any reason for this to change is February. -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net |
Unlikely scenario
In message , Dave.C
writes Reminds me of the jokes along the lines - Man goes to the Doctor and says "Every time I look at these GFS maps there seems to be a cold spell in two weeks time, what should I do?" The doctor says "Stop looking!" Dave "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message ... http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3841.png It appears to me that this scenario is very unlikely (this year). The emphasis seems to be the jet running NE between Scotland and Iceland right up the Norweigen Sea, preventing blocking in these regions, hence the Russian Highs and the like are pushed either over us or back into the continent. I don't see any reason for this to change is February. -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net Keith. Latest GFS in many days time gives a glimmer of winter. I am not too sure about the jet continuing in its current position perpetuating an upper ridge over Scotland at its right exit(ish). Indeed the T=144 onwards suggests a slight backing and a consequent high over western Scandinavia (which quickly slips southwards). Quite frankly I am relying on the GFS less and less after 144. It all looks logical - as all machine products obviously do - but I feel it has served us ill this winter. Its consistency at the later half of its output is dreadful in my opinion. Anyway I thought you had given this winter up and had fallen on your sword :). Cheers Paul -- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather. 400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash |
Unlikely scenario
Paul Bartlett wrote:
Anyway I thought you had given this winter up and had fallen on your sword :). Cheers Paul I used the 'GFS freefall program' to fall on the sword, subsequently I missed ;-) -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net |
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