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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400
years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. I wonder if full account was taken of the unusual number of extreme rainfall events which take place just inland of the north Cornwall / north Devon coast? Graham Penzance Weather www.easterling.freeserve.co.uk/weather.html |
#2
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On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling"
wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. And I guess no mass media to send pictures round the world. |
#3
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![]() "Mike Watson" wrote in message ... On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling" wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. .... the town of my birth (Bude) further up the coast, has had notable floods of property along the river in the following years (at least): 1894, 1903, 1958, 1959 & 1993. With each event, the 'cost' (monetary and other) increased - the last one caused a major re-think in the drainage engineering in the area. The events were not all 'Boscastle' sudden-storm types (and the topography of the hinterland is not quite so 'severe'), but the end-effects were the same. I wouldn't buy a property in the affected area of Boscastle. Martin. |
#4
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![]() ... the town of my birth (Bude) further up the coast, has had notable floods of property along the river in the following years (at least): 1894, 1903, 1958, 1959 & 1993. With each event, the 'cost' (monetary and other) increased - the last one caused a major re-think in the drainage engineering in the area. The events were not all 'Boscastle' sudden-storm types (and the topography of the hinterland is not quite so 'severe'), but the end-effects were the same. I wouldn't buy a property in the affected area of Boscastle. Martin. I have a recollection that one of the later ones at Bude was made worse by failure to us the flood defences correctly something to do with the Bude canal. It is anecdotal and could easily be incorrect. Alan |
#5
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"Mike Watson" wrote in message
... On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling" wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. And I guess no mass media to send pictures round the world. And for what bit of media there was, thankfully, the only thing they knew about carbon dioxide was that animals gave it off when they breathed out, plants took it in when they photosynthesised! |
#6
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In article ,
Pete B writes: "Mike Watson" wrote in message news:mhoau09r5cv ... On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling" wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. And I guess no mass media to send pictures round the world. And for what bit of media there was, thankfully, the only thing they knew about carbon dioxide was that animals gave it off when they breathed out, plants took it in when they photosynthesised! I'm not sure that the media have really changed all that much. Wasn't any unusual weather during the 1950s blamed on testing of nuclear weapons? -- John Hall "Hegel was right when he said that we learn from history that man can never learn anything from history." George Bernard Shaw (1856-1950) |
#7
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John Hall wrote:
I'm not sure that the media have really changed all that much. Wasn't any unusual weather during the 1950s blamed on testing of nuclear weapons? My mother told me yesterday that someone in her "newspaper" (term used loosely) claims that recent weather events are the result of the Apollo space missions. -- Steve Loft, Wanlockhead, Dumfriesshire. 1417ft ASL http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/weather/ Free weather softwa http://cumulus.nybbles.co.uk/ Experimental webcam: http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/webcam.php |
#8
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![]() "John Hall" wrote in message ... In article , Pete B writes: "Mike Watson" wrote in message news:mhoau09r5cv ... On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling" wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. And I guess no mass media to send pictures round the world. And for what bit of media there was, thankfully, the only thing they knew about carbon dioxide was that animals gave it off when they breathed out, plants took it in when they photosynthesised! I'm not sure that the media have really changed all that much. Wasn't any unusual weather during the 1950s blamed on testing of nuclear weapons? Yes, and in the 1970s the scientists finally admitted that a nuclear war would cause a nuclear winter. Cheers, Alastair. |
#9
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In article ,
Alastair McDonald k writes: "John Hall" wrote in message ... I'm not sure that the media have really changed all that much. Wasn't any unusual weather during the 1950s blamed on testing of nuclear weapons? Yes, and in the 1970s the scientists finally admitted that a nuclear war would cause a nuclear winter. Yes, but such a nuclear war is something at least one order of magnitude greater than the amount of nuclear tests conducted in the 1950s. -- John Hall "Hegel was right when he said that we learn from history that man can never learn anything from history." George Bernard Shaw (1856-1950) |
#10
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"John Hall" wrote in message
... In article , Pete B writes: "Mike Watson" wrote in message news:mhoau09r5cv ... On Wed, 12 Jan 2005 17:30:37 -0000, "Graham Easterling" wrote: I see that the EA have decided that the Boscastle flood is a once in 400 years event. This despite the fact that there was an almost identical event in 1957. The descriptions of the flood were very similar, a wall of water coming down the valley into Boscastle. Possessions were washed out of properties down into the sea. The main difference in 1957 being that there were not dozens of vehicles being washed through the village, and hence less structural damage to buildings. 203.2mm was recorded near Wadebridge, and at Tintagel the rain gauge overflowed. And I guess no mass media to send pictures round the world. And for what bit of media there was, thankfully, the only thing they knew about carbon dioxide was that animals gave it off when they breathed out, plants took it in when they photosynthesised! I'm not sure that the media have really changed all that much. Wasn't any unusual weather during the 1950s blamed on testing of nuclear weapons? I'm not sure about any specific weather events, the '50's were too early for me to remember anyway but during a discussion I was having with my father on Global Warming last year, I did ask him whether there had been exactly that - any blame put on nuclear testing for unusual weather events then. He didn't remember any specific ones but did say that there were, as now with CO2, fears of general climate change if it went on. The one I do remember reading afterwards was the inevitable link with the 1963 winter and nuclear testing (in a similar way to the 2003 summer and anthropogenic CO2 induced global warming) but a detailed analytical review I read on that winter in an old Meteorological Magazine (from about 1968 IIRC) many years ago concluded with the fact that such a winter was to be expected as an extreme event very occasionally and therefore no specific cause had to be linked to it. I have read the link in Alastairs post further down and while interesting and reasoned science, I am not convinced, mainly because the temporary cooling began before fusion (H) bombs had been developed and didn't stop until the mid 1970's, long after atmospheric testing (and therefore any associated stratospheric pollution) had ceased. As the article rightly says, fission (A) bombs were simply not powerful enough to inject material into the stratosphere so there could not have been any contribution from nukes until the 1950's, if any at all. -- Pete Please take my dog out twice to e-mail --------------------------------------------------------------- The views expressed above are entirely those of the writer and do not represent the views, policy or understanding of any other person or official body. --------------------------------------------------------------- |
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